Euro 2024

Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage

Jun 19, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Stade de France

France
1 - 0
Greece

Mbappe (55' pen.)

FT(HT: 0-0)

Reaction

Kylian Mbappe celebrates scoring for France on June 19, 2023

Kylian Mbappe breaks France goalscoring record in Greece win

Kylian Mbappe becomes the highest-scoring Frenchman for club and country in a single season as Les Bleus defeat Greece 1-0 in Euro 2024 qualifying Group B.

Jun 19, 21:12

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between France and Greece, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how France could line up for Monday's Euro 2024 qualifying Group B clash with Greece.

Form, Standings, Stats

France

All competitions

Euro Champ Qualifying

Last Game: Gibraltar 0-3 France
Friday, June 16 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	France	3	8	9
2	Greece	2	4	6
3	Netherlands	2	-1	3
4	Republic of Ireland	2	-2	0
5	Gibraltar	3	-9	0

Greece

All competitions

Euro Champ Qualifying

Last Game: Greece 2-1 Rep. Ireland
Friday, June 16 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	France	3	8	9
2	Greece	2	4	6
3	Netherlands	2	-1	3
4	Republic of Ireland	2	-2	0
5	Gibraltar	3	-9	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a France win with a probability of 43.93%. A win for Greece had a probability of 34.36% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a France win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.42%) and 1-0 (5.15%). The likeliest Greece win was 1-2 (7.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that France would win this match.

Result
France	Draw	Greece
43.93% ( -8.04)	21.71% ( -4.92)	34.36% ( 12.95)

Both teams to score 69.78% (

26.34)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

70.16% (

29.88)

29.83% (

-29.88)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

49.01% (

29.03)

50.99% (

-29.03)

France Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.5% (

8.67)

14.5% (

-8.67)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.5% (

14.55)

42.49% (

-14.55)

Greece Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.61% (

25.07)

18.38% (

-25.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.48% (

30.15)

49.52% (

-30.16)

Score Analysis

France 43.93%

Greece 34.36%

Draw 21.71%

France	Draw	Greece
2-1 @ 8.42% ( -0.56) 3-1 @ 5.42% ( 1.04) 1-0 @ 5.15% ( -9.57) 2-0 @ 4.97% ( -5.79) 3-2 @ 4.59% ( 2.77) 3-0 @ 3.2% ( -2.05) 4-1 @ 2.62% ( 1.02) 4-2 @ 2.22% ( 1.55) 4-0 @ 1.54% ( -0.38) 4-3 @ 1.25% ( 1.07) 5-1 @ 1.01% ( 0.54) Other @ 3.55% Total : 43.93%	1-1 @ 8.72% ( -3.55) 2-2 @ 7.13% ( 3.39) 0-0 @ 2.66% ( -7.4) 3-3 @ 2.59% ( 2.09) Other @ 0.61% Total : 21.71%	1-2 @ 7.38% ( 2.27) 0-1 @ 4.51% ( -3.88) 1-3 @ 4.17% ( 2.75) 2-3 @ 4.03% ( 2.99) 0-2 @ 3.82% ( 0.33) 0-3 @ 2.16% ( 1.19) 1-4 @ 1.77% ( 1.47) 2-4 @ 1.71% ( 1.49) 3-4 @ 1.1% ( 0.99) 0-4 @ 0.91% ( 0.71) Other @ 2.81% Total : 34.36%