/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fcrolog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fturlog.png)
-
Marcelo Brozovic
12'
-
Borna Barisic
34'
-
Luka Modric
88'
-
Bruno Petkovic
89'
-
Baris Yilmaz
15'
-
Baris Yilmaz
30'
-
Ugurcan Cakir
69'
-
Bertug Yildirim
89'
-
Kaan Ayhan
90'
-
Yunus Akgun
90'+3'
Croatia vs Turkey - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F37%2Fcroatia.jpg)
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Croatia win with a probability of 40.57%. A win for Turkey had a probability of 34.05% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Croatia win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.73%) and 2-0 (6.65%). The likeliest Turkey win was 0-1 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.
Result
Croatia
40.57%
▼
(-0.05)
Draw
25.38%
▼
(-0.01)
Turkey
34.05%
▲
(+0.06)
Both Teams to Score:
56.01%
▲
(+0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5
52.26%
▲
(+0.04)
Under 2.5
47.74%
▼
(-0.04)
Over 3.5
30.07%
▲
(+0.04)
Under 3.5
69.93%
▼
(-0.04)
Over 4.5
14.72%
▲
(+0.03)
Under 4.5
85.28%
▼
(-0.03)
Croatia Goals
Over 0.5
76.66%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 0.5
23.34%
▲
(+0.01)
Over 1.5
42.7%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 1.5
57.3%
▲
(+0.01)
Turkey Goals
Over 0.5
73.07%
▲
(+0.05)
Under 0.5
26.93%
▼
(-0.05)
Over 1.5
37.73%
▲
(+0.07)
Under 1.5
62.26%
▼
(-0.07)
Score analysis
Croatia
40.57%
Draw
25.37%
Turkey
34.05%
Croatia
1-0
@
9.15%
▼
(-0.02)
2-1 @ 8.73% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 6.65% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 4.23% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 3.23% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.78% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 1.54% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.17% ▼ (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.01%
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 40.57%
2-1 @ 8.73% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 6.65% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 4.23% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 3.23% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.78% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 1.54% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.17% ▼ (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.01%
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 40.57%
Draw
1-1
@
11.99%
▼
(-0.01)
0-0 @ 6.29% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.73% ▲ (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.21% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.37%
0-0 @ 6.29% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.73% ▲ (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.21% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.37%
Turkey
0-1
@
8.25%
▼
(-0.01)
1-2 @ 7.87% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 5.41% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 3.44% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.5% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 2.37% ▲ (+0.01)
1-4 @ 1.13% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 34.05%
1-2 @ 7.87% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 5.41% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 3.44% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.5% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 2.37% ▲ (+0.01)
1-4 @ 1.13% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 34.05%