/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fjaplog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fturlog.png)
-
Atsuki Ito
15'
-
Keito Nakamura
28'
-
Keito Nakamura
29'
-
Keito Nakamura
36'
-
Seiya Maikuma
43'
-
Takefusa Kubo
45'+5'
-
Junya Ito
78'
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Ozan Kabak
44'
-
Caglar Soyuncu
44'
-
Salih Ozcan
45'+5'
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Bertug Yildirim
61'
-
Ismail Yuksek
76'
Japan vs Turkey - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F36%2Fhajime-moriyasu.jpg)
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Turkey win with a probability of 40.8%. A win for Japan had a probability of 32.66% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Turkey win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.61%) and 0-2 (7.23%). The likeliest Japan win was 1-0 (9.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.62%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Japan would win this match.
Result
Japan
32.66%
Draw
26.54%
▲
(+0.01)
Turkey
40.8%
▼
(-0.01)
Both Teams to Score:
51.81%
▼
(-0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5
47.02%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 2.5
52.98%
▲
(+0.04)
Over 3.5
25.42%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 3.5
74.58%
▲
(+0.04)
Over 4.5
11.62%
▼
(-0.03)
Under 4.5
88.38%
▲
(+0.03)
Japan Goals
Over 0.5
69.61%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 0.5
30.39%
▲
(+0.02)
Over 1.5
33.42%
▼
(-0.03)
Under 1.5
66.58%
▲
(+0.03)
Turkey Goals
Over 0.5
74.43%
▼
(-0.03)
Under 0.5
25.57%
▲
(+0.03)
Over 1.5
39.56%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 1.5
60.44%
▲
(+0.04)
Score analysis
Japan
32.66%
Draw
26.54%
Turkey
40.79%
Japan
1-0
@
9.26%
▲
(+0.01)
2-1 @ 7.52% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 5.51% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 2.99% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 2.19%
3-2 @ 2.04% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 32.66%
2-1 @ 7.52% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 5.51% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 2.99% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 2.19%
3-2 @ 2.04% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 32.66%
Draw
1-1
@
12.62%
▲
(+0.01)
0-0 @ 7.77% ▲ (+0.02)
2-2 @ 5.13% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 1.03%
Total : 26.54%
0-0 @ 7.77% ▲ (+0.02)
2-2 @ 5.13% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 1.03%
Total : 26.54%
Turkey
0-1
@
10.59%
▲
(+0.01)
1-2 @ 8.61% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 7.23% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 3.91% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 3.29% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.33% ▼ (-0.01)
1-4 @ 1.33% ▼ (-0.01)
0-4 @ 1.12% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 40.79%
1-2 @ 8.61% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 7.23% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 3.91% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 3.29% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.33% ▼ (-0.01)
1-4 @ 1.33% ▼ (-0.01)
0-4 @ 1.12% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 40.79%