Latvia vs Armenia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Latvia win with a probability of 46%. A win for Armenia had a probability of 29.2% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Latvia win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.29%) and 2-0 (7.65%). The likeliest Armenia win was 0-1 (7.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Latvia would win this match.