North Macedonia national football team
Friendlies 2
Oct 17, 2023 at 2pm UK
Nacionalna Arena Filip II Makedonski
Armenia national football team

N. Macedonia
3 - 1
Armenia

Trajkovski (43'), Ristovski (59'), Daci (88')
Alimi (38')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Spertsyan (90+4')
Voskanyan (47')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's friendly clash between North Macedonia and Armenia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

North Macedonia

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Ukraine 2-0 N. Macedonia
Saturday, October 14 at 2pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Armenia

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Latvia 2-0 Armenia
Thursday, October 12 at 5pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a North Macedonia win with a probability of 62.69%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Armenia had a probability of 15.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a North Macedonia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.75%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.25%), while for an Armenia win it was 0-1 (5.38%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that North Macedonia would win this match.

Result
North MacedoniaDrawArmenia
62.69% (-0.684 -0.68)21.58% (0.221 0.22)15.73% (0.459 0.46)
Both teams to score 48.09% (0.362 0.36)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.59% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)48.41% (0.066999999999993 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.45% (-0.063999999999997 -0.06)70.54% (0.060000000000002 0.06)
North Macedonia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.15% (-0.24000000000001 -0.24)14.85% (0.235 0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.82% (-0.456 -0.46)43.17% (0.453 0.45)
Armenia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.48% (0.581 0.58)43.51% (-0.58499999999999 -0.58)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.27% (0.48 0.48)79.72% (-0.48399999999999 -0.48)
Score Analysis
    North Macedonia 62.68%
    Armenia 15.73%
    Draw 21.57%
North MacedoniaDrawArmenia
1-0 @ 12.32% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-0 @ 11.75% (-0.16 -0.16)
2-1 @ 9.78% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
3-0 @ 7.47% (-0.17 -0.17)
3-1 @ 6.22% (-0.04 -0.04)
4-0 @ 3.56% (-0.112 -0.11)
4-1 @ 2.96% (-0.044 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.59% (0.025 0.02)
5-0 @ 1.36% (-0.054 -0.05)
4-2 @ 1.23% (0.002 0)
5-1 @ 1.13% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 62.68%
1-1 @ 10.25% (0.11 0.11)
0-0 @ 6.46% (0.018 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.07% (0.073999999999999 0.07)
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 21.57%
0-1 @ 5.38% (0.101 0.1)
1-2 @ 4.27% (0.112 0.11)
0-2 @ 2.24% (0.077 0.08)
1-3 @ 1.18% (0.049 0.05)
2-3 @ 1.13% (0.038 0.04)
Other @ 1.54%
Total : 15.73%

How you voted: N. Macedonia vs Armenia

North Macedonia
77.8%
Draw
16.7%
Armenia
5.6%
18
Head to Head
Nov 11, 2021 5pm
Group Stage
Armenia
0-5
N. Macedonia
Trajkovski (22'), Bardhi (36', 66', 90'), Ristovski (79')
Kostadinov (53')
> Preview
Sep 2, 2021 7.45pm
Group Stage
N. Macedonia
0-0
Armenia
Musliu (73'), Kostadinov (80')
Voskanyan (23'), Mkhitaryan (51'), Hovhannisyan (66')
> Preview
Nov 18, 2020 5pm
League C
Armenia
1-0
N. Macedonia
Hambardzumyan (55')
Voskanyan (39'), Koryan (45+2'), Udo (45+2'), Barseghyan (56')

Musliu (48')
Sep 5, 2020 2pm
League C
N. Macedonia
2-1
Armenia
Alioski (5' pen.), Nestorovski (38' pen.)
Musliu (58'), Alioski (72')
Barseghyan (90+4' pen.)
Haroyan (3'), Hambardzumyan (37'), Hovhannisyan (84')
Oct 16, 2018 5pm
League Phase
Armenia
4-0
N. Macedonia
Pizzelli (12'), Movsisyan (67'), Ghazaryan (81'), Mkhitaryan (90')
Khachaturov (20'), Hovsepyan (20'), Grigoryan (44'), Haroyan (57'), Mkhitaryan (71'), Barseghyan (86')

Pandev (27'), Ristovski (27'), Elmas (79'), Nestorovski (88')
Elmas (90')