International Friendlies
N. Macedonia
Oct 17, 2023 2.00pm
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT Nacionalna Arena Filip II Makedonski
Armenia
  • Isnik Alimi 38' yellowcard
  • Aleksandar Trajkovski 43' goal
  • Milan Ristovski 59' goal
  • Erdon Daci 88' goal
  • yellowcard Taron Voskanyan 47'
  • goal Eduard Spertsyan 90'+4'

North Macedonia vs Armenia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

North Macedonia

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Mar 27, 2023 5.00pm
N. Macedonia 1 - 0 Faroe Islands

Armenia

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Mar 28, 2023 4.00pm
Armenia 2 - 2 Cyprus

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a North Macedonia win with a probability of 62.69%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Armenia had a probability of 15.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a North Macedonia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.75%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.25%), while for an Armenia win it was 0-1 (5.38%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that North Macedonia would win this match.

Result

North Macedonia 62.69% ▼ (-0.69)
Draw 21.58% ▲ (+0.23)
Armenia 15.73% ▲ (+0.46)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.09% ▲ (+0.37)

Goals

Over 2.5 51.59% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 2.5 48.41% ▲ (+0.07)
Over 3.5 29.45% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 3.5 70.54% ▲ (+0.07)
Over 4.5 14.29% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 4.5 85.7% ▲ (+0.04)

North Macedonia Goals

Over 0.5 85.15% ▼ (-0.25)
Under 0.5 14.85% ▲ (+0.24)
Over 1.5 56.82% ▼ (-0.46)
Under 1.5 43.17% ▲ (+0.46)

Armenia Goals

Over 0.5 56.48% ▲ (+0.59)
Under 0.5 43.51% ▼ (-0.59)
Over 1.5 20.27% ▲ (+0.49)
Under 1.5 79.72% ▼ (-0.49)

Score analysis

North Macedonia 62.68%
Draw 21.57%
Armenia 15.73%
North Macedonia
1-0 @ 12.32% ▼ (-0.08)
2-0 @ 11.75% ▼ (-0.17)
2-1 @ 9.78% ▲ (+0.03)
3-0 @ 7.47% ▼ (-0.17)
3-1 @ 6.22% ▼ (-0.05)
4-0 @ 3.56% ▼ (-0.12)
4-1 @ 2.96% ▼ (-0.05)
3-2 @ 2.59% ▲ (+0.03)
5-0 @ 1.36% ▼ (-0.06)
4-2 @ 1.23% ▲ (+0.01)
5-1 @ 1.13% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 62.68%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.25% ▲ (+0.11)
0-0 @ 6.46% ▲ (+0.02)
2-2 @ 4.07% ▲ (+0.08)
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 21.57%
Armenia
0-1 @ 5.38% ▲ (+0.11)
1-2 @ 4.27% ▲ (+0.12)
0-2 @ 2.24% ▲ (+0.08)
1-3 @ 1.18% ▲ (+0.05)
2-3 @ 1.13% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 1.54%
Total : 15.73%

Head to Head

World Cup Qualifying - Europe
Armenia
Nov 11, 2021 5.00pm
0
5
HT : 0 2
FT
N. Macedonia
  • goal Aleksandar Trajkovski 22'
  • goal Enis Bardhi 36'
  • yellowcard Tihomir Kostadinov 53'
  • goal Enis Bardhi 66'
  • goal Milan Ristovski 79'
  • goal Enis Bardhi 90'
World Cup Qualifying - Europe
N. Macedonia
Sep 2, 2021 7.45pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Armenia
  • Visar Musliu 73' yellowcard
  • Tihomir Kostadinov 80' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Taron Voskanyan 23'
  • yellowcard Henrikh Mkhitaryan 51'
  • yellowcard Kamo Hovhannisyan 66'
Nations League
Armenia
Nov 18, 2020 5.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Vazgen Sargsyan anvan Hanrapetakan Marzadasht
N. Macedonia
  • Taron Voskanyan 39' yellowcard
  • Arshak Koryan 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Solomon Udo 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Hovhannes Hambardzumyan 55' goal
  • Tigran Barseghyan 56' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Visar Musliu 48'
Nations League
N. Macedonia
Sep 5, 2020 2.00pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT Toše Proeski Arena
Armenia
  • Ezgjan Alioski 5' goal
  • Ilija Nestorovski 38' goal
  • Visar Musliu 58' yellowcard
  • Ezgjan Alioski 72' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Varazdat Haroyan 3'
  • yellowcard Hovhannes Hambardzumyan 37'
  • yellowcard Kamo Hovhannisyan 84'
  • goal Tigran Barseghyan 90'+4'
Nations League
Armenia
Oct 16, 2018 5.00pm
4
0
HT : 1 0
FT
N. Macedonia
  • Marcos Pizzelli 12' goal
  • Artem Khachaturov 20' yellowcard
  • Rumyan Hovsepyan 20' yellowcard
  • Artak Grigoryan 44' yellowcard
  • Varazdat Haroyan 57' yellowcard
  • Yura Movsisyan 67' goal
  • Henrikh Mkhitaryan 71' yellowcard
  • Gevorg Ghazaryan 81' goal
  • Tigran Barseghyan 86' yellowcard
  • Henrikh Mkhitaryan 90' goal
  • yellowcard Goran Pandev 27'
  • yellowcard Stefan Ristovski 27'
  • yellowcard Eljif Elmas 79'
  • yellowcard Ilija Nestorovski 88'
  • redcard Eljif Elmas 90'
Nations League
N. Macedonia
Sep 9, 2018 5.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
Armenia
  • Ezgjan Alioski 13' goal
  • Goran Pandev 59' goal
  • Boban Nikolov 84' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Tigran Barseghyan 43'
  • yellowcard Artur Sarkisov 81'

Form Data

Ukraine 2 - 0 N. Macedonia
Malta 0 - 2 N. Macedonia
N. Macedonia 1 - 1 Italy
England 7 - 0 N. Macedonia
N. Macedonia 2 - 3 Ukraine
N. Macedonia 1 - 0 Faroe Islands
Latvia 2 - 0 Armenia
Armenia 0 - 1 Croatia
Turkey 1 - 1 Armenia
Armenia 2 - 1 Latvia
Wales 2 - 4 Armenia
Armenia 2 - 2 Cyprus