Euro Champ Qualifying
N. Macedonia
Sep 9, 2023 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Tose Proeski Arena
Italy
  • Jovan Manev 68' yellowcard
  • Enis Bardhi 81' goal
  • Isnik Alimi 88' yellowcard
  • goal Ciro Immobile 47'
  • yellowcard Federico Dimarco 70'
  • yellowcard Sandro Tonali 75'
  • yellowcard Nicolo Zaniolo 79'

North Macedonia vs Italy - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

Match Preview
Predicted Lineups

Form, Standings, Stats

North Macedonia

All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last game
Jun 19, 2023 7.45pm
England 7 - 0 N. Macedonia

Italy

All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last game
Mar 26, 2023 7.45pm
Malta 0 - 2 Italy

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Italy win with a probability of 37.64%. A win for North Macedonia had a probability of 36.09% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Italy win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.29%) and 0-2 (6.41%). The likeliest North Macedonia win was 1-0 (9.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.

Result

North Macedonia 36.09% ▲ (+0.16)
Draw 26.27% ▼ (-0.22)
Italy 37.64% ▲ (+0.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.3% ▲ (+0.73)

Goals

Over 2.5 48.65% ▲ (+0.92)
Under 2.5 51.35% ▼ (-0.92)
Over 3.5 26.83% ▲ (+0.79)
Under 3.5 73.17% ▼ (-0.80)
Over 4.5 12.54% ▲ (+0.52)
Under 4.5 87.46% ▼ (-0.52)

North Macedonia Goals

Over 0.5 72.56% ▲ (+0.54)
Under 0.5 27.43% ▼ (-0.53)
Over 1.5 37.08% ▲ (+0.68)
Under 1.5 62.92% ▼ (-0.68)

Italy Goals

Over 0.5 73.46% ▲ (+0.47)
Under 0.5 26.54% ▼ (-0.47)
Over 1.5 38.25% ▲ (+0.61)
Under 1.5 61.75% ▼ (-0.61)

Score analysis

North Macedonia 36.09%
Draw 26.27%
Italy 37.64%
North Macedonia
1-0 @ 9.42% ▼ (-0.21)
2-1 @ 8.08% ▲ (+0.06)
2-0 @ 6.09% ▼ (-0.05)
3-1 @ 3.48% ▲ (+0.08)
3-0 @ 2.63% ▲ (+0.03)
3-2 @ 2.31% ▲ (+0.08)
4-1 @ 1.13% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 36.09%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.49% ▼ (-0.10)
0-0 @ 7.28% ▼ (-0.28)
2-2 @ 5.36% ▲ (+0.11)
3-3 @ 1.02% ▼ (-96.38)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.27%
Italy
0-1 @ 9.66% ▼ (-0.23)
1-2 @ 8.29% ▲ (+0.04)
0-2 @ 6.41% ▼ (-0.07)
1-3 @ 3.66% ▲ (+0.07)
0-3 @ 2.83% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.37% ▲ (+0.08)
1-4 @ 1.22% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 37.64%

Head to Head

World Cup Qualifying - Europe
Italy
Mar 24, 2022 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
N. Macedonia
  • yellowcard Stefan Spirovski 80'
  • goal Aleksandar Trajkovski 90'+2'
World Cup Qualifying - Europe
Italy
Oct 6, 2017 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT
N. Macedonia
  • Giorgio Chiellini 40' goal
  • goal Aleksandar Trajkovski 77'
World Cup Qualifying - Europe
N. Macedonia
Oct 9, 2016 7.45pm
2
3
HT : 0 1
FT
Italy
  • Ilija Nestorovski 57' goal
  • Ferhan Hasani 60' goal
  • goal Andrea Belotti 24'
  • goal Ciro Immobile 75'
  • goal Ciro Immobile 92'

Form Data

England 7 - 0 N. Macedonia
N. Macedonia 2 - 3 Ukraine
N. Macedonia 1 - 0 Faroe Islands
N. Macedonia 2 - 1 Malta
N. Macedonia 1 - 3 Azerbaijan
N. Macedonia 1 - 1 Finland
Netherlands 2 - 3 Italy
Spain 2 - 1 Italy
Malta 0 - 2 Italy
Italy 1 - 2 England
Austria 2 - 0 Italy
Albania 1 - 3 Italy