Euro Champ Qualifying
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fenglog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fnmaclog.png)
-
Harry Kane
29'
-
Bukayo Saka
38'
-
Marcus Rashford
45'
-
Bukayo Saka
47'
-
Bukayo Saka
51'
-
Kalvin Phillips
64'
-
Harry Kane
73'
England vs North Macedonia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Reaction
News
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F25%2Fbukayo-saka_1.JPG)
News
The match
Result
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F25%2Fbukayo-saka.JPG)
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F24%2Ftaa.jpg)
Predicted Lineups
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F24%2Fbuksak.jpg)
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a England win with a probability of 43.93%. A win for North Macedonia had a probability of 34.36% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a England win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.42%) and 1-0 (5.15%). The likeliest North Macedonia win was 1-2 (7.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.72%). The actual scoreline of 7-0 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that England would win this match.
Result
England
43.93%
▼
(-14.69)
Draw
21.71%
▼
(-1.61)
North Macedonia
34.36%
▲
(+16.28)
Both Teams to Score:
69.78%
▲
(+22.19)
Goals
Over 2.5
70.16%
▲
(+21.74)
Under 2.5
29.83%
▼
(-21.75)
Over 3.5
49.01%
▲
(+22.38)
Under 3.5
50.99%
▼
(-22.38)
Over 4.5
29.83%
▲
(+17.43)
Under 4.5
70.16%
▼
(-17.43)
England Goals
Over 0.5
85.5%
▲
(+2.82)
Under 0.5
14.5%
▼
(-2.83)
Over 1.5
57.5%
▲
(+5.19)
Under 1.5
42.49%
▼
(-5.19)
North Macedonia Goals
Over 0.5
81.61%
▲
(+24.06)
Under 0.5
18.38%
▼
(-24.06)
Over 1.5
50.48%
▲
(+29.29)
Under 1.5
49.52%
▼
(-29.30)
Score analysis
England
43.93%
Draw
21.71%
North Macedonia
34.36%
England
2-1
@
8.42%
▼
(-1.27)
3-1 @ 5.42% ▼ (-0.25)
1-0 @ 5.15% ▼ (-7.74)
2-0 @ 4.97% ▼ (-6.33)
3-2 @ 4.59% ▲ (+2.17)
3-0 @ 3.2% ▼ (-3.41)
4-1 @ 2.62% ▲ (+0.14)
4-2 @ 2.22% ▲ (+1.16)
4-0 @ 1.54% ▼ (-1.36)
4-3 @ 1.25% ▼ (-29.15)
5-1 @ 1.01% ▼ (-85.99)
Other @ 3.55%
Total : 43.93%
3-1 @ 5.42% ▼ (-0.25)
1-0 @ 5.15% ▼ (-7.74)
2-0 @ 4.97% ▼ (-6.33)
3-2 @ 4.59% ▲ (+2.17)
3-0 @ 3.2% ▼ (-3.41)
4-1 @ 2.62% ▲ (+0.14)
4-2 @ 2.22% ▲ (+1.16)
4-0 @ 1.54% ▼ (-1.36)
4-3 @ 1.25% ▼ (-29.15)
5-1 @ 1.01% ▼ (-85.99)
Other @ 3.55%
Total : 43.93%
Draw
1-1
@
8.72%
▼
(-2.33)
2-2 @ 7.13% ▲ (+2.98)
0-0 @ 2.66% ▼ (-4.69)
3-3 @ 2.59% ▼ (-66.71)
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 21.71%
2-2 @ 7.13% ▲ (+2.98)
0-0 @ 2.66% ▼ (-4.69)
3-3 @ 2.59% ▼ (-66.71)
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 21.71%
North Macedonia
1-2
@
7.38%
▲
(+2.65)
0-1 @ 4.51% ▼ (-1.79)
1-3 @ 4.17% ▲ (+2.82)
2-3 @ 4.03% ▲ (+2.84)
0-2 @ 3.82% ▲ (+1.13)
0-3 @ 2.16% ▼ (-74.95)
1-4 @ 1.77% ▼ (-27.24)
2-4 @ 1.71% ▼ (-23.70)
3-4 @ 1.1% ▼ (-13.81)
Other @ 3.73%
Total : 34.36%
0-1 @ 4.51% ▼ (-1.79)
1-3 @ 4.17% ▲ (+2.82)
2-3 @ 4.03% ▲ (+2.84)
0-2 @ 3.82% ▲ (+1.13)
0-3 @ 2.16% ▼ (-74.95)
1-4 @ 1.77% ▼ (-27.24)
2-4 @ 1.71% ▼ (-23.70)
3-4 @ 1.1% ▼ (-13.81)
Other @ 3.73%
Total : 34.36%