Euro Champ Qualifying
Sep 12, 2023 7.45pm
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT Ta'Qali National Stadium
  • Teddy Teuma 27' yellowcard
  • Steve Borg 39' yellowcard
  • Ryan Camenzuli 66' yellowcard
  • goal Eljif Elmas 5'
  • goal Jovan Manev 41'
  • yellowcard Damjan Shishkovski 85'
  • yellowcard Jovan Manev 87'

Malta vs North Macedonia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Malta

All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last game
Jun 19, 2023 5.00pm
Ukraine 1 - 0 Malta

North Macedonia

All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last game
Sep 9, 2023 7.45pm
N. Macedonia 1 - 1 Italy

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a North Macedonia win with a probability of 54.38%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Malta had a probability of 21.63%.

The most likely scoreline for a North Macedonia win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.93%) and 1-2 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.41%), while for a Malta win it was 1-0 (6.7%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-2 win for North Macedonia in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for North Macedonia.

Result

Malta 21.63% (-0.05)
Draw 23.99% (+0.11)
North Macedonia 54.38% (-0.07)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.02% (-0.39)

Goals

Over 2.5 50.15% (-0.49)
Under 2.5 49.84% (+0.49)
Over 3.5 28.16% (-0.44)
Under 3.5 71.84% (+0.44)
Over 4.5 13.42% (-0.30)
Under 4.5 86.58% (+0.30)

Malta Goals

Over 0.5 62.4% (-0.32)
Under 0.5 37.6% (+0.32)
Over 1.5 25.62% (-0.31)
Under 1.5 74.38% (+0.32)

North Macedonia Goals

Over 0.5 81.77% (-0.21)
Under 0.5 18.23% (+0.21)
Over 1.5 50.74% (-0.36)
Under 1.5 49.25% (+0.36)

Score analysis

Malta 21.63%
Draw 23.99%
North Macedonia 54.37%
Malta
1-0 @ 6.7% (+0.08)
2-1 @ 5.58% (-0.03)
2-0 @ 3.28% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 1.82% (-0.03)
3-2 @ 1.55% (-0.04)
3-0 @ 1.07% (-0.01)
Other @ 1.62%
Total : 21.63%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.41% (+0.07)
0-0 @ 6.85% (+0.14)
2-2 @ 4.75% (-0.06)
Other @ 0.98%
Total : 23.99%
North Macedonia
0-1 @ 11.66% (+0.16)
0-2 @ 9.93% (+0.07)
1-2 @ 9.71% (-0.03)
0-3 @ 5.63% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 5.51% (-0.05)
2-3 @ 2.7% (-0.05)
0-4 @ 2.4% (-0.02)
1-4 @ 2.35% (-0.04)
2-4 @ 1.15% (-0.03)
Other @ 3.34%
Total : 54.37%

Head to Head

Euro Champ Qualifying
Mar 23, 2023 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Eljif Elmas 66' goal
  • Darko Churlinov 72' goal
  • goal Yannick Yankam 85'