Euro Champ Qualifying
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-
Heorhiy Sudakov
30'
-
Ruslan Malinovskyi
69'
-
Oleksandr Karavaev
90'+5'
-
Oleksandr Zinchenko
90'+6'
-
Blagoja Milevski
70'
-
Nikola Serafimov
90'+2'
-
Arijan Ademi
90'+4'
Ukraine vs North Macedonia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ukraine win with a probability of 61.17%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for North Macedonia had a probability of 15.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ukraine win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.15%) and 2-1 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.84%), while for a North Macedonia win it was 0-1 (6.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ukraine would win this match.
Result
Ukraine
61.17%
▲
(+2.33)
Draw
23.76%
▼
(-0.86)
North Macedonia
15.08%
▼
(-1.47)
Both Teams to Score:
40.69%
▼
(-0.68)
Goals
Over 2.5
42.35%
▲
(+0.77)
Under 2.5
57.65%
▼
(-0.76)
Over 3.5
21.59%
▲
(+0.61)
Under 3.5
78.41%
▼
(-0.60)
Over 4.5
9.26%
▲
(+0.36)
Under 4.5
90.74%
▼
(-0.36)
Ukraine Goals
Over 0.5
81.38%
▲
(+1.18)
Under 0.5
18.62%
▼
(-1.17)
Over 1.5
50.08%
▲
(+1.93)
Under 1.5
49.92%
▼
(-1.93)
North Macedonia Goals
Over 0.5
50%
▼
(-1.57)
Under 0.5
50%
▲
(+1.57)
Over 1.5
15.34%
▼
(-1.12)
Under 1.5
84.66%
▲
(+1.12)
Score analysis
Ukraine
61.16%
Draw
23.75%
North Macedonia
15.08%
Ukraine
1-0
@
15.64%
▲
(+0.13)
2-0 @ 13.15% ▲ (+0.59)
2-1 @ 9.12% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 7.37% ▲ (+0.58)
3-1 @ 5.11% ▲ (+0.19)
4-0 @ 3.1% ▲ (+0.35)
4-1 @ 2.15% ▲ (+0.16)
3-2 @ 1.77% ▼ (-0.02)
5-0 @ 1.04% ▼ (-88.06)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 61.16%
2-0 @ 13.15% ▲ (+0.59)
2-1 @ 9.12% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 7.37% ▲ (+0.58)
3-1 @ 5.11% ▲ (+0.19)
4-0 @ 3.1% ▲ (+0.35)
4-1 @ 2.15% ▲ (+0.16)
3-2 @ 1.77% ▼ (-0.02)
5-0 @ 1.04% ▼ (-88.06)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 61.16%
Draw
1-1
@
10.84%
▼
(-0.42)
0-0 @ 9.31% ▼ (-0.28)
2-2 @ 3.16% ▼ (-0.15)
Other @ 0.44%
Total : 23.75%
0-0 @ 9.31% ▼ (-0.28)
2-2 @ 3.16% ▼ (-0.15)
Other @ 0.44%
Total : 23.75%
North Macedonia
0-1
@
6.45%
▼
(-0.50)
1-2 @ 3.76% ▼ (-0.33)
0-2 @ 2.24% ▼ (-0.29)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 15.08%
1-2 @ 3.76% ▼ (-0.33)
0-2 @ 2.24% ▼ (-0.29)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 15.08%
Head to Head
Euro Champ Qualifying
-
Enis Bardhi
31'
-
Eljif Elmas
39'
-
Illia Zabarnyi
62'
-
Yukhym Konoplya
67'
-
Viktor Tsygankov
83'
European Championship
-
Andriy Yarmolenko
29'
-
Roman Yaremchuk
34'
-
Mykola Shaparenko
43'
-
Ezgjan Alioski
57'
-
Darko Velkovski
59'
-
Daniel Avramovski
83'
European Championship
-
Vladica Brdarovski
45'
-
Leonard Zhuta
58'
-
Yevhen Khacheridi
9'
-
Serhiy Sydorchuk
36'
-
Yevhen Seleznyov
59'
-
Artem Kravets
87'
European Championship
-
Artem Fedeckyj
42'
-
Sergiy Sydorchuk
45'
-
Sergiy Sydorchuk
45'
-
Ruslan Rotan
72'
-
Pylyp Budkivsky
86'
-
Adis Jahovic
30'
-
Aleksandar Damcevski
39'
-
Aleksandar Trajkovski
59'
-
Besart Abdurahimi
63'
-
Krste Velkoski
93'