/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fitalog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fukrlog.png)
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Davide Frattesi
12'
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Davide Frattesi
29'
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Vitaliy Mykolenko
38'
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Andriy Yarmolenko
41'
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Yukhym Konoplya
62'
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Taras Stepanenko
76'
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Illia Zabarnyi
78'
Italy vs Ukraine - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Italy win with a probability of 39.33%. A win for Ukraine had a probability of 32.32% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Italy win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.04%) and 2-0 (7.49%). The likeliest Ukraine win was 0-1 (10.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Italy in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Italy.
Result
Both Teams to Score:
Goals
Italy Goals
Ukraine Goals
Score analysis
2-1 @ 8.04% ▼ (-0.66)
2-0 @ 7.49% ▼ (-1.01)
3-1 @ 3.26% ▼ (-0.66)
3-0 @ 3.03% ▼ (-0.80)
3-2 @ 1.75% ▼ (-0.26)
Other @ 3.45%
Total : 39.33%
0-0 @ 10.12% ▲ (+0.81)
2-2 @ 4.32% ▼ (-0.13)
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 28.34%
1-2 @ 7.1% ▲ (+0.52)
0-2 @ 5.84% ▲ (+0.97)
1-3 @ 2.54% ▲ (+0.30)
0-3 @ 2.09% ▲ (+0.43)
2-3 @ 1.55% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 32.31%