Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norway win with a probability of 45.46%. A win for Slovakia had a probability of 29.79% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Norway win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.24%) and 2-0 (7.48%). The likeliest Slovakia win was 0-1 (7.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.