Euro Champ Qualifying
Sep 12, 2023 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT Ullevaal Stadion
  • Erling Haaland 25' goal
  • Martin Odegaard 33' goal
  • yellowcard Zuriko Davitashvili 64'
  • yellowcard Budu Zivzivadze 82'
  • goal Budu Zivzivadze 90'+1'

Norway vs Georgia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Norway

All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last game
Jun 20, 2023 7.45pm
Norway 3 - 1 Cyprus

Georgia

All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last game
Sep 8, 2023 5.00pm
Georgia 1 - 7 Spain

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norway win with a probability of 68.31%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Georgia had a probability of 12.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norway win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.31%) and 2-1 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.21%), while for a Georgia win it was 0-1 (4.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Norway in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Norway.

Result

Norway 68.31% (-0.26)
Draw 19.39% (+0.10)
Georgia 12.3% (+0.16)

Both Teams to Score: 

46.06% (+0.19)

Goals

Over 2.5 53.68% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 46.32% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 31.39% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 68.61% (+0.01)
Over 4.5 15.64% (-0.01)
Under 4.5 84.36% (+0.01)

Norway Goals

Over 0.5 87.49% (-0.08)
Under 0.5 12.51% (+0.08)
Over 1.5 61.48% (-0.16)
Under 1.5 38.51% (+0.16)

Georgia Goals

Over 0.5 52.65% (+0.26)
Under 0.5 47.35% (-0.27)
Over 1.5 17.25% (+0.20)
Under 1.5 82.75% (-0.20)

Score analysis

Norway 68.3%
Draw 19.39%
Georgia 12.3%
Norway
2-0 @ 12.79% (-0.08)
1-0 @ 12.31% (-0.03)
2-1 @ 9.57% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 8.87% (-0.08)
3-1 @ 6.63% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 4.61% (-0.06)
4-1 @ 3.45% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.48% (+0.02)
5-0 @ 1.92% (-0.03)
5-1 @ 1.43% (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.29% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 68.3%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.21% (+0.05)
0-0 @ 5.92% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 3.58% (+0.04)
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 19.39%
Georgia
0-1 @ 4.43% (+0.04)
1-2 @ 3.44% (+0.05)
0-2 @ 1.66% (+0.03)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 12.3%

Head to Head

Euro Champ Qualifying
Mar 28, 2023 5.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Georges Mikautadze 60' goal
  • goal Alexander Sorloth 15'