Euro 2024

Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage

Sep 12, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Ullevaal Stadion

Norway
2 - 1
Georgia

Haaland (25'), Odegaard (33')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Zivzivadze (90+1')
Davitashvili (64'), Zivzivadze (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's European Championship Qualifying clash between Norway and Georgia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Norway

All competitions

Euro Champ Qualifying

Last Game: Norway 6-0 Jordan
Thursday, September 7 at 6pm in International Friendlies

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Scotland	5	11	15
2	Spain	3	7	6
3	Norway	4	-2	4
4	Georgia	4	-7	4
5	Cyprus	4	-9	0

Georgia

All competitions

Euro Champ Qualifying

Last Game: Georgia 1-7 Spain
Friday, September 8 at 5pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Scotland	5	11	15
2	Spain	3	7	6
3	Norway	4	-2	4
4	Georgia	4	-7	4
5	Cyprus	4	-9	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norway win with a probability of 68.31%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Georgia had a probability of 12.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norway win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.31%) and 2-1 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.21%), while for a Georgia win it was 0-1 (4.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Norway in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Norway.

Result
Norway	Draw	Georgia
68.31% ( -0.25)	19.39% ( 0.09)	12.3% ( 0.16)

	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
C	Liverpool	38	25	9	4	86	41	45	84
2	Arsenal	38	20	14	4	69	34	35	74
3	Manchester City Man City	38	21	8	9	72	44	28	71
4	Chelsea	38	20	9	9	64	43	21	69
5	Newcastle United Newcastle	38	20	6	12	68	47	21	66
6	Aston Villa	38	19	9	10	58	51	7	66
7	Nottingham Forest Nott'm Forest	38	19	8	11	58	46	12	65
8	Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton	38	16	13	9	66	59	7	61
9	Bournemouth	38	15	11	12	58	46	12	56
10	Brentford	38	16	8	14	66	57	9	56
11	Fulham	38	15	9	14	54	54	0	54
12	Crystal Palace	38	13	14	11	51	51	0	53
13	Everton	38	11	15	12	42	44	-2	48
14	West Ham United West Ham	38	11	10	17	46	62	-16	43
15	Manchester United Man Utd	38	11	9	18	44	54	-10	42
16	Wolverhampton Wanderers Wolves	38	12	6	20	54	69	-15	42
17	Tottenham Hotspur Spurs	38	11	5	22	64	65	-1	38
R	Leicester City Leicester	38	6	7	25	33	80	-47	25
R	Ipswich Town Ipswich	38	4	10	24	36	82	-46	22
R	Southampton	38	2	6	30	26	86	-60	12
					> Premier League Full Table

Norway	Draw	Georgia
2-0 @ 12.79% ( -0.07) 1-0 @ 12.31% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 9.57% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 8.87% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 6.63% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 4.61% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 3.45% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.48% ( 0.02) 5-0 @ 1.92% ( -0.03) 5-1 @ 1.43% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.29% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.97% Total : 68.3%	1-1 @ 9.21% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 5.92% ( 0) 2-2 @ 3.58% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.68% Total : 19.39%	0-1 @ 4.43% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 3.44% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 1.66% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.78% Total : 12.3%