Euro 2024

Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage

Jun 20, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Ullevaal Stadion

Norway
3 - 1
Cyprus

Solbakken (12'), Haaland (56' pen., 60')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Kastanos (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between Norway and Cyprus, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Norway

All competitions

Euro Champ Qualifying

Last Game: Norway 1-2 Scotland
Saturday, June 17 at 5pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Scotland	3	6	9
2	Georgia	2	1	4
3	Spain	2	1	3
4	Norway	3	-4	1
5	Cyprus	2	-4	0

Cyprus

All competitions

Euro Champ Qualifying

Last Game: Cyprus 1-2 Georgia
Saturday, June 17 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Scotland	3	6	9
2	Georgia	2	1	4
3	Spain	2	1	3
4	Norway	3	-4	1
5	Cyprus	2	-4	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norway win with a probability of 83.05%. A draw had a probability of 12% and a win for Cyprus had a probability of 4.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norway win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (13.02%) and 1-0 (10.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.64%), while for a Cyprus win it was 0-1 (2.09%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-1 win for Norway in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Norway.

Result
Norway	Draw	Cyprus
83.05% ( 39.12)	11.96% ( -9.75)	4.99% ( -29.38)

Both teams to score 38.2% (

-31.59)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.58% (

-7.58)

37.42% (

7.59)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.36% (

-8.65)

59.64% (

8.65)

Norway Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

93.28% (

7.78)

6.72% (

-7.78)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

75.15% (

17.64)

24.85% (

-17.64)

Cyprus Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

40.95% (

-40.67)

59.05% (

40.67)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

9.84% (

-40.64)

90.16% (

40.64)

Score Analysis

Norway 83.05%

Cyprus 4.99%

Draw 11.96%

Norway	Draw	Cyprus
2-0 @ 14.46% ( 9.49) 3-0 @ 13.02% ( 9.82) 1-0 @ 10.71% ( 5.56) 4-0 @ 8.79% ( 7.25) 2-1 @ 7.62% ( -0.8) 3-1 @ 6.86% ( 1.44) 5-0 @ 4.75% ( 4.15) 4-1 @ 4.63% ( 2.02) 5-1 @ 2.5% ( 1.49) 6-0 @ 2.14% ( 1.95) 3-2 @ 1.81% ( -2.78) 4-2 @ 1.22% ( -1) 6-1 @ 1.13% ( 0.8) Other @ 3.42% Total : 83.05%	1-1 @ 5.64% ( -3.08) 0-0 @ 3.97% ( 1.3) 2-2 @ 2.01% ( -5.12) Other @ 0.35% Total : 11.96%	0-1 @ 2.09% ( -2.42) 1-2 @ 1.49% ( -5.9) Other @ 1.41% Total : 4.99%