Euro Champ Qualifying
Jun 20, 2023 7.45pm
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT Ullevaal Stadion
  • Ola Solbakken 12' goal
  • Erling Haaland 56' goal
  • Erling Haaland 60' goal
  • goal Grigoris Kastanos 90'+3'

Norway vs Cyprus - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Norway

All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last game
Jun 17, 2023 5.00pm
Norway 1 - 2 Scotland

Cyprus

All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last game
Jun 17, 2023 7.45pm
Cyprus 1 - 2 Georgia

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norway win with a probability of 83.05%. A draw had a probability of 12% and a win for Cyprus had a probability of 4.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norway win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (13.02%) and 1-0 (10.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.64%), while for a Cyprus win it was 0-1 (2.09%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-1 win for Norway in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Norway.

Result

Norway 83.05% (+39.13)
Draw 11.96% (-9.75)
Cyprus 4.99% (-29.38)

Both Teams to Score: 

38.2% (-31.59)

Goals

Over 2.5 62.58% (-7.59)
Under 2.5 37.42% (+7.59)
Over 3.5 40.36% (-8.65)
Under 3.5 59.64% (+8.66)
Over 4.5 22.43% (-7.41)
Under 4.5 77.57% (+7.41)

Norway Goals

Over 0.5 93.28% (+7.79)
Under 0.5 6.72% (-7.78)
Over 1.5 75.15% (+17.65)
Under 1.5 24.85% (-17.64)

Cyprus Goals

Over 0.5 40.95% (-40.67)
Under 0.5 59.05% (+40.68)
Over 1.5 9.84% (-40.64)
Under 1.5 90.16% (+40.65)

Score analysis

Norway 83.05%
Draw 11.96%
Cyprus 4.99%
Norway
2-0 @ 14.46% (+9.50)
3-0 @ 13.02% (+9.83)
1-0 @ 10.71% (+5.57)
4-0 @ 8.79% (+7.25)
2-1 @ 7.62% (-0.80)
3-1 @ 6.86% (+1.44)
5-0 @ 4.75% (-54.96)
4-1 @ 4.63% (+2.02)
5-1 @ 2.5% (+1.50)
6-0 @ 2.14% (-17.07)
3-2 @ 1.81% (-2.79)
4-2 @ 1.22% (-1.00)
6-1 @ 1.13% (-31.38)
Other @ 3.42%
Total : 83.05%
Draw
1-1 @ 5.64% (-3.08)
0-0 @ 3.97% (+1.31)
2-2 @ 2.01% (-5.13)
Other @ 0.35%
Total : 11.96%
Cyprus
0-1 @ 2.09% (-2.43)
1-2 @ 1.49% (-5.90)
Other @ 1.41%
Total : 4.99%

Head to Head

Nations League
Nov 19, 2018 7.45pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Valentinos Sielis 80' redcard
  • goal Ola Kamara 36'
  • yellowcard Mohamed Elyounoussi 42'
  • goal Ola Kamara 48'
  • yellowcard Ola Kamara 66'
  • redcard Mohamed Elyounoussi 90'
Nations League
Sep 6, 2018 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Stefan Johansen 21' goal
  • Stefan Johansen 43' goal
  • Omar Elabdellaoui 44' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Konstantinos Laifis 41'
  • yellowcard Georgios Efrem 85'