Euro Champ Qualifying
Mar 25, 2023 7.45pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Dani Olmo 13' goal
  • Joselu 83' goal
  • Joselu 85' goal

Spain vs Norway - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview
Predicted Lineups

Form, Standings, Stats

Spain

All competitions

Norway

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spain win with a probability of 64.63%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Norway had a probability of 13.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spain win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.96%) and 2-1 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.1%), while for a Norway win it was 0-1 (5.38%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Spain would win this match.

Result

Spain 64.63%
Draw 21.5%
Norway 13.87%

Both Teams to Score: 

43.99%

Goals

Over 2.5 48.45%
Under 2.5 51.55%
Over 3.5 26.65%
Under 3.5 73.34%
Over 4.5 12.42%
Under 4.5 87.58%

Spain Goals

Over 0.5 84.73%
Under 0.5 15.27%
Over 1.5 56.04%
Under 1.5 43.96%

Norway Goals

Over 0.5 51.91%
Under 0.5 48.08%
Over 1.5 16.7%
Under 1.5 83.29%

Score analysis

Spain 64.62%
Draw 21.5%
Norway 13.87%
Spain
1-0 @ 13.79%
2-0 @ 12.96%
2-1 @ 9.49%
3-0 @ 8.12%
3-1 @ 5.95%
4-0 @ 3.82%
4-1 @ 2.8%
3-2 @ 2.18%
5-0 @ 1.44%
5-1 @ 1.05%
4-2 @ 1.02%
Other @ 2%
Total : 64.62%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.1%
0-0 @ 7.34%
2-2 @ 3.48%
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 21.5%
Norway
0-1 @ 5.38%
1-2 @ 3.7%
0-2 @ 1.97%
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 13.87%

Head to Head

Euro Champ Qualifying
Oct 12, 2019 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Joshua King 42' yellowcard
  • Joshua King 94' goal
  • yellowcard Rodrigo 35'
  • goal Saul Niguez 47'
  • yellowcard Sergio Busquets 61'
  • yellowcard Sergio Ramos 81'
  • yellowcard Fabian 81'
  • yellowcard Kepa Arrizabalaga 93'
Euro Champ Qualifying
Mar 23, 2019 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Rodrigo 16' goal
  • Dani Ceballos 54' yellowcard
  • Inigo Martinez 64' yellowcard
  • Sergio Ramos 71' goal
  • yellowcard Kristoffer Ajer 35'
  • yellowcard Tarik Elyounoussi 51'
  • yellowcard Stefan Johansen 54'
  • goal Joshua King 65'
  • yellowcard Bjorn Johnsen 74'
European Under-21s Championship
Jun 15, 2013 4.30pm
3
0
HT : 3 0
FT
  • Rodrigo Moreno 0' goal
  • Isco 0' goal
  • Alvaro Morata 0' goal