Euro 2020 header take 8

Euro 2024

Cyprus national football team
Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage
Jun 17, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
AEK Arena - George Karapatakis
Georgia national football team

Cyprus
1 - 2
Georgia

Pittas (39' pen.)
FT(HT: 1-1)
Mikautadze (31'), Davitashvili (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between Cyprus and Georgia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cyprus

All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Armenia 2-2 Cyprus
Tuesday, March 28 at 4pm in International Friendlies

Georgia

All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Georgia 1-1 Norway
Tuesday, March 28 at 5pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Georgia win with a probability of 53.58%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Cyprus had a probability of 21.55%.

The most likely scoreline for a Georgia win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.28%) and 1-2 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.77%), while for a Cyprus win it was 1-0 (7.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Georgia would win this match.

Result
CyprusDrawGeorgia
21.55% (-0.59 -0.59)24.86% (-0.869 -0.87)53.58% (1.46 1.46)
Both teams to score 48.34% (1.712 1.71)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.65% (2.638 2.64)53.35% (-2.638 -2.64)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.11% (2.189 2.19)74.89% (-2.189 -2.19)
Cyprus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.34% (0.907 0.91)39.66% (-0.906 -0.91)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.66% (0.827 0.83)76.34% (-0.828 -0.83)
Georgia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.12% (1.658 1.66)19.88% (-1.659 -1.66)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.01% (2.61 2.61)51.99% (-2.612 -2.61)
Score Analysis
    Cyprus 21.55%
    Georgia 53.57%
    Draw 24.86%
CyprusDrawGeorgia
1-0 @ 7.29% (-0.591 -0.59)
2-1 @ 5.45% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-0 @ 3.37% (-0.184 -0.18)
3-1 @ 1.68% (0.037 0.04)
3-2 @ 1.36% (0.096 0.1)
3-0 @ 1.04% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 1.37%
Total : 21.55%
1-1 @ 11.77% (-0.33 -0.33)
0-0 @ 7.88% (-0.853 -0.85)
2-2 @ 4.4% (0.209 0.21)
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 24.86%
0-1 @ 12.73% (-0.68 -0.68)
0-2 @ 10.28% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 9.52% (0.223 0.22)
0-3 @ 5.54% (0.269 0.27)
1-3 @ 5.12% (0.368 0.37)
2-3 @ 2.37% (0.224 0.22)
0-4 @ 2.24% (0.214 0.21)
1-4 @ 2.07% (0.244 0.24)
2-4 @ 0.96% (0.133 0.13)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 53.57%

How you voted: Cyprus vs Georgia

Cyprus
16.7%
Draw
9.3%
Georgia
74.1%
54