Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Georgia win with a probability of 52.86%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Norway had a probability of 21.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a Georgia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.65%) and 2-1 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.07%), while for a Norway win it was 0-1 (7.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.