Euro 2020 header take 8

Euro 2024

Norway national football team
Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage
Jun 17, 2023 at 5pm UK
Ullevaal Stadion
Scotland national football team

Norway
1 - 2
Scotland

Haaland (61' pen.)
FT(HT: 0-0)
Dykes (87'), McLean (89')
McGinn (37'), Hendry (40'), Tierney (53'), Porteous (60')

The Match

Match Report

Scotland record a dramatic 2-1 victory over Norway in their Euro 2024 qualifier, coming back from the brink of defeat to prevail in Oslo.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between Norway and Scotland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Norway

All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Georgia 1-1 Norway
Tuesday, March 28 at 5pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Scotland

All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Scotland 2-0 Spain
Tuesday, March 28 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norway win with a probability of 43.5%. A win for Scotland had a probability of 29.77% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norway win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.81%) and 2-0 (8%). The likeliest Scotland win was 0-1 (9.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Scotland in this match.

Result
NorwayDrawScotland
43.5% (-0.337 -0.34)26.73% (0.081 0.08)29.77% (0.255 0.25)
Both teams to score 50.09% (-0.11 -0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.34% (-0.20399999999999 -0.2)54.65% (0.203 0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.01% (-0.171 -0.17)75.98% (0.17 0.17)
Norway Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.07% (-0.26000000000001 -0.26)24.93% (0.261 0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.44% (-0.36199999999999 -0.36)59.56% (0.363 0.36)
Scotland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.72% (0.082999999999998 0.08)33.28% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.11% (0.09 0.09)69.89% (-0.090000000000003 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    Norway 43.5%
    Scotland 29.77%
    Draw 26.73%
NorwayDrawScotland
1-0 @ 11.52% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.81% (-0.042 -0.04)
2-0 @ 8% (-0.057 -0.06)
3-1 @ 4.08% (-0.05 -0.05)
3-0 @ 3.71% (-0.054 -0.05)
3-2 @ 2.24% (-0.023 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.42% (-0.028 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.29% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 43.5%
1-1 @ 12.68% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
0-0 @ 8.3% (0.065999999999999 0.07)
2-2 @ 4.85% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 26.73%
0-1 @ 9.13% (0.093 0.09)
1-2 @ 6.98% (0.035 0.04)
0-2 @ 5.02% (0.062 0.06)
1-3 @ 2.56% (0.019 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.84% (0.027 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.78% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 29.77%

How you voted: Norway vs Scotland

Norway
52.9%
Draw
12.9%
Scotland
34.3%
140
Head to Head
Nov 19, 2013 6pm
International Friendlies
Norway
0-1
Scotland
> Match Report