Euro Champ Qualifying
Jun 17, 2023 5.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT Ullevaal Stadion
  • Erling Haaland 61' goal
  • yellowcard John McGinn 37'
  • yellowcard Jack Hendry 40'
  • yellowcard Kieran Tierney 53'
  • yellowcard Ryan Porteous 60'
  • goal Lyndon Dykes 87'
  • goal Kenny McLean 89'

Norway vs Scotland - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Result
Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Norway

All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last game
Mar 28, 2023 5.00pm
Georgia 1 - 1 Norway

Scotland

All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last game
Mar 28, 2023 7.45pm
Scotland 2 - 0 Spain

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norway win with a probability of 43.5%. A win for Scotland had a probability of 29.77% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norway win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.81%) and 2-0 (8%). The likeliest Scotland win was 0-1 (9.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Scotland in this match.

Result

Norway 43.5% (-0.34)
Draw 26.73% (+0.09)
Scotland 29.77% (+0.26)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.09% (-0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5 45.34% (-0.21)
Under 2.5 54.65% (+0.21)
Over 3.5 24.01% (-0.18)
Under 3.5 75.98% (+0.18)
Over 4.5 10.74% (-0.11)
Under 4.5 89.26% (+0.11)

Norway Goals

Over 0.5 75.07% (-0.27)
Under 0.5 24.93% (+0.27)
Over 1.5 40.44% (-0.37)
Under 1.5 59.56% (+0.37)

Scotland Goals

Over 0.5 66.72% (+0.09)
Under 0.5 33.28% (-0.09)
Over 1.5 30.11% (+0.09)
Under 1.5 69.89% (-0.10)

Score analysis

Norway 43.5%
Draw 26.73%
Scotland 29.77%
Norway
1-0 @ 11.52% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 8.81% (-0.05)
2-0 @ 8% (-0.06)
3-1 @ 4.08% (-0.05)
3-0 @ 3.71% (-0.06)
3-2 @ 2.24% (-0.03)
4-1 @ 1.42% (-0.03)
4-0 @ 1.29% (-0.03)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 43.5%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.68% (+0.04)
0-0 @ 8.3% (+0.07)
2-2 @ 4.85% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 26.73%
Scotland
0-1 @ 9.13% (+0.10)
1-2 @ 6.98% (+0.04)
0-2 @ 5.02% (+0.07)
1-3 @ 2.56% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.84% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 1.78% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 29.77%

Head to Head

International Friendlies
Nov 19, 2013 6.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Martin Linnes 83' yellowcard
  • Vegard Forren 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Charlie Adam 57'
  • goal Scott Brown 61'