Euro Champ Qualifying
Mar 28, 2023 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Scott McTominay 7' goal
  • Scott McTominay 51' goal

Scotland vs Spain - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Result
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups

Form, Standings, Stats

Scotland

All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last game
Mar 25, 2023 2.00pm
Scotland 3 - 0 Cyprus

Spain

All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last game
Mar 25, 2023 7.45pm
Spain 3 - 0 Norway

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spain win with a probability of 36.47%. A win for Scotland had a probability of 35.91% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spain win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.89%) and 0-2 (6.59%). The likeliest Scotland win was 1-0 (10.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.

Result

Scotland 35.91% (+0.87)
Draw 27.62% (+0.35)
Spain 36.47% (-1.22)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.97% (-1.03)

Goals

Over 2.5 43.2% (-1.31)
Under 2.5 56.8% (+1.31)
Over 3.5 22.26% (-1.06)
Under 3.5 77.74% (+1.06)
Over 4.5 9.67% (-0.65)
Under 4.5 90.33% (+0.65)

Scotland Goals

Over 0.5 69.8% (-0.11)
Under 0.5 30.2% (+0.11)
Over 1.5 33.65% (-0.13)
Under 1.5 66.35% (+0.13)

Spain Goals

Over 0.5 70.15% (-1.37)
Under 0.5 29.85% (+1.37)
Over 1.5 34.07% (-1.69)
Under 1.5 65.93% (+1.69)

Score analysis

Scotland 35.91%
Draw 27.61%
Spain 36.47%
Scotland
1-0 @ 10.79% (+0.50)
2-1 @ 7.81% (+0.06)
2-0 @ 6.46% (+0.29)
3-1 @ 3.12% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 2.58% (+0.11)
3-2 @ 1.89% (-0.07)
Other @ 3.26%
Total : 35.91%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.04% (+0.12)
0-0 @ 9.01% (+0.45)
2-2 @ 4.72% (-0.16)
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 27.61%
Spain
0-1 @ 10.89% (+0.14)
1-2 @ 7.89% (-0.23)
0-2 @ 6.59% (-0.18)
1-3 @ 3.18% (-0.22)
0-3 @ 2.66% (-0.18)
2-3 @ 1.9% (-0.14)
Other @ 3.36%
Total : 36.47%