Euro 2024

Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage

Mar 28, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Hampden Park

Scotland
2 - 0
Spain

McTominay (7', 51')

FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Scotland

All competitions

Euro Champ Qualifying

Last Game: Scotland 3-0 Cyprus
Saturday, March 25 at 2pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Scotland	1	3	3
2	Spain	1	3	3
3	Georgia	0	0	0
4	Cyprus	1	-3	0
5	Norway	1	-3	0

Spain

All competitions

Euro Champ Qualifying

Last Game: Spain 3-0 Norway
Saturday, March 25 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Scotland	1	3	3
2	Spain	1	3	3
3	Georgia	0	0	0
4	Cyprus	1	-3	0
5	Norway	1	-3	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spain win with a probability of 36.47%. A win for Scotland had a probability of 35.91% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spain win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.89%) and 0-2 (6.59%). The likeliest Scotland win was 1-0 (10.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.

Result
Scotland	Draw	Spain
35.91% ( 0.86)	27.62% ( 0.35)	36.47% ( -1.21)

Both teams to score 48.97% (

-1.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.2% (

-1.3)

56.8% (

1.3)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.26% (

-1.06)

77.74% (

1.06)

Scotland Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.8% (

-0.1)

30.2% (

0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.65% (

-0.12)

66.35% (

0.12)

Spain Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.15% (

-1.36)

29.85% (

1.36)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.07% (

-1.68)

65.93% (

1.68)

Score Analysis

Scotland 35.91%

Spain 36.47%

Draw 27.61%

Scotland	Draw	Spain
1-0 @ 10.79% ( 0.5) 2-1 @ 7.81% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 6.46% ( 0.28) 3-1 @ 3.12% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.58% ( 0.11) 3-2 @ 1.89% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 0.93% ( 0) Other @ 2.33% Total : 35.91%	1-1 @ 13.04% ( 0.12) 0-0 @ 9.01% ( 0.44) 2-2 @ 4.72% ( -0.15) Other @ 0.83% Total : 27.61%	0-1 @ 10.89% ( 0.13) 1-2 @ 7.89% ( -0.23) 0-2 @ 6.59% ( -0.17) 1-3 @ 3.18% ( -0.22) 0-3 @ 2.66% ( -0.18) 2-3 @ 1.9% ( -0.14) 1-4 @ 0.96% ( -0.11) Other @ 2.4% Total : 36.47%