Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spain win with a probability of 39.25%. A win for Georgia had a probability of 32.95% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spain win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.18%) and 0-2 (7.3%). The likeliest Georgia win was 1-0 (10.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-7 was predicted with a 0% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Spain would win this match.