Euro 2024

Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage

Jun 20, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Hampden Park

Scotland
2 - 0
Georgia

McGregor (6'), McTominay (47')

FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Match Report

Scotland defy an extended rain delay to beat Georgia by a 2-0 scoreline at Hampden Park, edging closer to qualification for Euro 2024 in the process.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between Scotland and Georgia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Scotland

All competitions

Euro Champ Qualifying

Last Game: Norway 1-2 Scotland
Saturday, June 17 at 5pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Scotland	3	6	9
2	Georgia	2	1	4
3	Spain	2	1	3
4	Norway	3	-4	1
5	Cyprus	2	-4	0

Georgia

All competitions

Euro Champ Qualifying

Last Game: Cyprus 1-2 Georgia
Saturday, June 17 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Scotland	3	6	9
2	Georgia	2	1	4
3	Spain	2	1	3
4	Norway	3	-4	1
5	Cyprus	2	-4	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Scotland win with a probability of 55.76%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Georgia had a probability of 18.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Scotland win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.59%) and 2-1 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.72%), while for a Georgia win it was 0-1 (7.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Scotland would win this match.

Result
Scotland	Draw	Georgia
55.76% ( 11.83)	25.34% ( 3.64)	18.9% ( -15.47)

Both teams to score 43.37% (

-26.42)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.04% (

-28.12)

57.96% (

28.12)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.35% (

-27.66)

78.65% (

27.66)

Scotland Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.17% (

-6.33)

20.83% (

6.33)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.5% (

-11.01)

53.5% (

11.01)

Georgia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.78% (

-26.84)

45.22% (

26.84)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.89% (

-31.59)

81.11% (

31.6)

Score Analysis

Scotland 55.75%

Georgia 18.9%

Draw 25.34%

Scotland	Draw	Georgia
1-0 @ 14.77% ( 9.62) 2-0 @ 11.59% ( 6.62) 2-1 @ 9.2% ( 0.78) 3-0 @ 6.06% ( 2.86) 3-1 @ 4.81% ( -0.61) 4-0 @ 2.38% ( 0.83) 3-2 @ 1.91% ( -2.68) 4-1 @ 1.89% ( -0.73) Other @ 3.15% Total : 55.75%	1-1 @ 11.72% ( 3) 0-0 @ 9.42% ( 6.76) 2-2 @ 3.65% ( -3.48) Other @ 0.55% Total : 25.34%	0-1 @ 7.47% ( 2.96) 1-2 @ 4.65% ( -2.73) 0-2 @ 2.97% ( -0.86) 1-3 @ 1.23% ( -2.94) 2-3 @ 0.97% ( -3.06) Other @ 1.61% Total : 18.9%