Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Scotland win with a probability of 55.76%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Georgia had a probability of 18.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Scotland win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.59%) and 2-1 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.72%), while for a Georgia win it was 0-1 (7.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Scotland would win this match.