Euro Champ Qualifying
Jun 20, 2023 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Hampden Park
  • Callum McGregor 6' goal
  • Scott McTominay 47' goal

Scotland vs Georgia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Result
Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Scotland

All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last game
Jun 17, 2023 5.00pm
Norway 1 - 2 Scotland

Georgia

All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last game
Jun 17, 2023 7.45pm
Cyprus 1 - 2 Georgia

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Scotland win with a probability of 55.76%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Georgia had a probability of 18.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Scotland win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.59%) and 2-1 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.72%), while for a Georgia win it was 0-1 (7.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Scotland would win this match.

Result

Scotland 55.76% (+11.84)
Draw 25.34% (+3.64)
Georgia 18.9% (-15.47)

Both Teams to Score: 

43.37% (-26.42)

Goals

Over 2.5 42.04% (-28.12)
Under 2.5 57.96% (+28.13)
Over 3.5 21.35% (-27.67)
Under 3.5 78.65% (+27.67)
Over 4.5 9.12% (-20.72)
Under 4.5 90.88% (+20.72)

Scotland Goals

Over 0.5 79.17% (-6.33)
Under 0.5 20.83% (+6.34)
Over 1.5 46.5% (-11.01)
Under 1.5 53.5% (+11.02)

Georgia Goals

Over 0.5 54.78% (-26.84)
Under 0.5 45.22% (+26.85)
Over 1.5 18.89% (-31.60)
Under 1.5 81.11% (+31.60)

Score analysis

Scotland 55.75%
Draw 25.34%
Georgia 18.9%
Scotland
1-0 @ 14.77% (+9.63)
2-0 @ 11.59% (+6.63)
2-1 @ 9.2% (+0.79)
3-0 @ 6.06% (+2.87)
3-1 @ 4.81% (-0.61)
4-0 @ 2.38% (+0.84)
3-2 @ 1.91% (-2.69)
4-1 @ 1.89% (-0.73)
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 55.75%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.72% (+3.01)
0-0 @ 9.42% (+6.76)
2-2 @ 3.65% (-3.48)
Other @ 0.55%
Total : 25.34%
Georgia
0-1 @ 7.47% (+2.97)
1-2 @ 4.65% (-2.74)
0-2 @ 2.97% (-0.86)
1-3 @ 1.23% (-2.94)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 18.9%

Head to Head

European Championship
Sep 4, 2015 5.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Guram Kashia 9' yellowcard
  • Valeri Kazaishvili 37' goal
  • Jano Ananidze 44' yellowcard
  • Giorgi Navalovski 78' yellowcard
European Championship
Oct 11, 2014 5.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Akaki Khubutia 28' goal
  • James Morrison 33' yellowcard
  • Shaun Maloney 68' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Gia Grigalava 49'
  • yellowcard Murtaz Daushvili 53'