Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austria win with a probability of 37.06%. A win for Slovakia had a probability of 35.15% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Austria win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.92%) and 0-2 (6.77%). The likeliest Slovakia win was 1-0 (10.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Austria would win this match.