Euro 2024

Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage

Sep 12, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Friends Arena

Sweden
1 - 3
Austria

Holm (90')
Karlsson (71')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Gregoritsch (53'), Arnautovic (56', 69' pen.)
Mwene (45')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between Sweden and Austria, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sweden

All competitions

Euro Champ Qualifying

Last Game: Estonia 0-5 Sweden
Saturday, September 9 at 5pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Current Group F Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Belgium	4	7	10
2	Austria	4	6	10
3	Sweden	4	5	6
4	Estonia	4	-9	1
5	Azerbaijan	4	-9	1

Austria

All competitions

Euro Champ Qualifying

Last Game: Austria 1-1 Moldova
Thursday, September 7 at 7.30pm in International Friendlies

Current Group F Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Belgium	4	7	10
2	Austria	4	6	10
3	Sweden	4	5	6
4	Estonia	4	-9	1
5	Azerbaijan	4	-9	1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sweden win with a probability of 45.45%. A draw had a probability of 27.8% and a win for Austria had a probability of 26.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sweden win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.02%) and 2-1 (8.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.9%), while for an Austria win it was 0-1 (9.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.

Result
Sweden	Draw	Austria
45.45% ( 0.03)	27.76% ( -0.01)	26.78% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 45.4% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.21% (

0.01)

59.78% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.92% (

0.01)

80.07% (

-0.01)

Sweden Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.72% (

0.02)

26.27% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.61% (

0.03)

61.39% (

-0.03)

Austria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.58% (

-0.01)

38.42% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.83% (

-0.01)

75.17% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Sweden 45.45%

Austria 26.78%

Draw 27.75%

Sweden	Draw	Austria
1-0 @ 13.49% 2-0 @ 9.02% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.63% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.02% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.84% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.84% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.34% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.28% ( 0) Other @ 2% Total : 45.45%	1-1 @ 12.9% 0-0 @ 10.09% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.13% ( 0) Other @ 0.64% Total : 27.75%	0-1 @ 9.66% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.17% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.62% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.97% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.47% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.32% Other @ 1.58% Total : 26.78%