Euro Champ Qualifying
Sweden
Sep 12, 2023 7.45pm
1
3
HT : 0 0
FT Friends Arena
Austria
  • Jesper Karlsson 71' yellowcard
  • Emil Holm 90' goal
  • yellowcard Phillipp Mwene 45'
  • goal Michael Gregoritsch 53'
  • goal Marko Arnautovic 56'
  • goal Marko Arnautovic 69'

Sweden vs Austria - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Sweden

All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last game
Sep 9, 2023 5.00pm
Estonia 0 - 5 Sweden

Austria

All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last game
Jun 20, 2023 7.45pm
Austria 2 - 0 Sweden

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sweden win with a probability of 45.45%. A draw had a probability of 27.8% and a win for Austria had a probability of 26.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sweden win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.02%) and 2-1 (8.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.9%), while for an Austria win it was 0-1 (9.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.

Result

Sweden 45.45% ▲ (+0.03)
Draw 27.76% ▼ (-0.01)
Austria 26.78% ▼ (-0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

45.4% ▲ (+0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 40.21% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 2.5 59.78% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 3.5 19.92% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 3.5 80.07% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 4.5 8.29% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 4.5 91.7% ▼ (-0.01)

Sweden Goals

Over 0.5 73.72% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 0.5 26.27% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 1.5 38.61% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 1.5 61.39% ▼ (-0.04)

Austria Goals

Over 0.5 61.58% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 0.5 38.42% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 1.5 24.83% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 1.5 75.17% ▲ (+0.01)

Score analysis

Sweden 45.45%
Draw 27.75%
Austria 26.78%
Sweden
1-0 @ 13.49%
2-0 @ 9.02% ▲ (+0.01)
2-1 @ 8.63% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 4.02% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 3.84% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 1.84% ▲ (+0.01)
4-0 @ 1.34% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 1.28% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2%
Total : 45.45%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.9%
0-0 @ 10.09% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 4.13% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.64%
Total : 27.75%
Austria
0-1 @ 9.66% ▼ (-0.01)
1-2 @ 6.17% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 4.62% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 1.97% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.47% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.32%
Other @ 1.58%
Total : 26.78%

Head to Head

Euro Champ Qualifying
Austria
Jun 20, 2023 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Ernst-Happel-Stadion
Sweden
  • Christoph Baumgartner 81' goal
  • Christoph Baumgartner 89' goal
International Friendlies
Austria
Sep 6, 2018 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
Sweden
  • Filip Helander 11' goal
  • Marko Arnautovic 45' yellowcard
  • David Alaba 64' goal
European Championship
Sweden
Sep 8, 2015 7.45pm
1
4
HT : 0 2
FT
Austria
  • Andreas Granqvist 15' yellowcard
  • Zlatan Ibrahimovic 91' goal
  • goal David Alaba 9'
  • yellowcard Zlatko Junuzovic 24'
  • yellowcard Marc Janko 30'
  • goal Martin Harnik 38'
  • goal Marc Janko 76'
  • goal Martin Harnik 88'
  • yellowcard Stefan Ilsanker 91'
European Championship
Austria
Sep 8, 2014 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT
Sweden
  • David Alaba 7' goal
  • Aleksander Dragovic 74' yellowcard
  • goal Erkan Zengin 12'
  • yellowcard Zlatan Ibrahimovic 22'
  • yellowcard Sebastian Larsson 59'
  • yellowcard Kim Kallstrom 80'
World Cup
Austria
Jun 7, 2013 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 2 1
FT
Sweden
  • David Alaba 0' goal
  • Marc Janko 0' goal
  • goal Johan Elmander 0'

Form Data

Estonia 0 - 5 Sweden
Austria 2 - 0 Sweden
Sweden 4 - 1 New Zealand
Sweden 5 - 0 Azerbaijan
Sweden 0 - 3 Belgium
Sweden 2 - 1 Iceland
Austria 1 - 1 Moldova
Austria 2 - 0 Sweden
Belgium 1 - 1 Austria
Austria 2 - 1 Estonia
Austria 4 - 1 Azerbaijan
Austria 2 - 0 Italy