Friendlies 1

Sep 7, 2023 at 7.30pm UK

Raiffeisen Arena

Austria
1 - 1
Moldova

Gregoritsch (50')
Rangnick (39'), Posch (86'), Arnautovic (90+1'), Gregoritsch (90+5'), Sabitzer (90+5')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Damascan (3')
Revenco (38'), Platica (74'), Posmac (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's friendly clash between Austria and Moldova, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Austria

All competitions

Last Game: Austria 2-0 Sweden
Tuesday, June 20 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Current Group F Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Austria	4	6	10
2	Belgium	3	6	7
3	Sweden	3	0	3
4	Estonia	3	-4	1
5	Azerbaijan	3	-8	1

Moldova

All competitions

Last Game: Moldova 3-2 Poland
Tuesday, June 20 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Current Group E Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Czech Republic	3	5	7
2	Albania	3	3	6
3	Moldova	4	-1	5
4	Poland	3	-2	3
5	Faroe Islands	3	-5	1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austria win with a probability of 55.83%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Moldova had a probability of 20.47%.

The most likely scoreline for an Austria win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.3%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.26%), while for a Moldova win it was 0-1 (6.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.

Result
Austria	Draw	Moldova
55.83% ( -0.04)	23.69% ( 0.01)	20.47% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 50.3% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.02% (

-0.03)

49.97% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.04% (

-0.02)

71.95% (

0.02)

Austria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.26% (

-0.03)

17.73% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.59% (

-0.04)

48.41% (

0.04)

Moldova Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.15% (

0.01)

38.85% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.42% (

0.01)

75.57% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Austria 55.82%

Moldova 20.47%

Draw 23.69%

Austria	Draw	Moldova
1-0 @ 11.91% 2-0 @ 10.3% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.74% ( -0) 3-0 @ 5.94% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 5.62% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.66% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.57% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.43% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.15% ( -0) Other @ 3.51% Total : 55.82%	1-1 @ 11.26% 0-0 @ 6.89% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.61% ( 0) Other @ 0.93% Total : 23.69%	0-1 @ 6.51% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 5.33% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.08% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.68% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.45% ( 0) 0-3 @ 0.97% ( 0) Other @ 1.45% Total : 20.47%