Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austria win with a probability of 55.83%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Moldova had a probability of 20.47%.
The most likely scoreline for an Austria win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.3%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.26%), while for a Moldova win it was 0-1 (6.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.