Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Albania win with a probability of 51.73%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Moldova had a probability of 20.98%.
The most likely scoreline for an Albania win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.02%) and 2-1 (8.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.33%), while for a Moldova win it was 0-1 (8.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Albania in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Albania.