Euro Champ Qualifying
Jun 17, 2023 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Air Albania Stadium
  • Jasir Asani 51' goal
  • Nedim Bajrami 76' goal

Albania vs Moldova - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Albania

All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last game
Mar 27, 2023 7.45pm
Poland 1 - 0 Albania

Moldova

All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last game
Mar 27, 2023 7.45pm
Moldova 0 - 0 Czech Republic

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Albania win with a probability of 51.73%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Moldova had a probability of 20.98%.

The most likely scoreline for an Albania win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.02%) and 2-1 (8.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.33%), while for a Moldova win it was 0-1 (8.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Albania in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Albania.

Result

Albania 51.73% (+0.47)
Draw 27.29% (-0.05)
Moldova 20.98% (-0.43)

Both Teams to Score: 

41.31% (-0.40)

Goals

Over 2.5 37.78% (-0.24)
Under 2.5 62.21% (+0.24)
Over 3.5 18.11% (-0.18)
Under 3.5 81.89% (+0.18)
Over 4.5 7.27% (-0.10)
Under 4.5 92.73% (+0.10)

Albania Goals

Over 0.5 75.64% (+0.11)
Under 0.5 24.36% (-0.12)
Over 1.5 41.24% (+0.16)
Under 1.5 58.76% (-0.16)

Moldova Goals

Over 0.5 54.61% (-0.61)
Under 0.5 45.39% (+0.60)
Over 1.5 18.76% (-0.48)
Under 1.5 81.24% (+0.48)

Score analysis

Albania 51.72%
Draw 27.28%
Moldova 20.98%
Albania
1-0 @ 15.61% (+0.19)
2-0 @ 11.02% (+0.17)
2-1 @ 8.71% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 5.19% (+0.10)
3-1 @ 4.1% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 1.83% (+0.04)
3-2 @ 1.62% (-0.03)
4-1 @ 1.45% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 51.72%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.33% (-0.07)
0-0 @ 11.05% (+0.09)
2-2 @ 3.44% (-0.07)
Other @ 0.46%
Total : 27.28%
Moldova
0-1 @ 8.73% (-0.07)
1-2 @ 4.87% (-0.11)
0-2 @ 3.45% (-0.09)
1-3 @ 1.28% (-0.05)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 20.98%

Head to Head

Euro Champ Qualifying
Oct 14, 2019 7.45pm
0
4
HT : 0 3
FT
  • Victor Mudrac 29' yellowcard
  • Dinu Graur 38' yellowcard
  • Eugeniu Cebotaru 58' yellowcard
  • Oleg Reabcuik 62' yellowcard
  • Anatolie Prepelita 81' yellowcard
  • goal Sokol Cikalleshi 22'
  • goal Keidi Bare 34'
  • goal Lorenc Trashi 40'
  • yellowcard Keidi Bare 46'
  • yellowcard Sokol Cikalleshi 57'
  • yellowcard Klaus Gjasula 82'
  • goal Rey Manaj 90'
Euro Champ Qualifying
Jun 11, 2019 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Sokol Cikalleshi 66' goal
  • Ylber Ramadani 93' goal
  • Ylber Ramadani 93' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Igor Armas 57'
  • yellowcard Catalin Carp 76'