Moldova vs Romania - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Romania win with a probability of 43.83%. A win for Moldova had a probability of 30.8% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Romania win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.06%) and 0-2 (7.42%). The likeliest Moldova win was 1-0 (7.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Romania would win this match.