Moldova national football team
International Friendly
Nov 16, 2022 at 5pm UK
Stadionul Zimbru
Azerbaijan national football team

Moldova
1 - 2
Azerbaijan

Motpan (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Mahmudov (28'), Isaev (42')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's International Friendlies clash between Moldova and Azerbaijan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Moldova

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Moldova 2-0 Liechtenstein
Sunday, September 25 at 2pm in Nations League

Azerbaijan

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Azerbaijan 3-0 Kazakhstan
Sunday, September 25 at 5pm in Nations League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Moldova win with a probability of 43.33%. A win for Azerbaijan had a probability of 32.53% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Moldova win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.12%) and 2-0 (6.58%). The likeliest Azerbaijan win was 1-2 (7.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Azerbaijan would win this match.

Result
MoldovaDrawAzerbaijan
43.33% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)24.13% (0.0030000000000001 0)32.53% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Both teams to score 59.89% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.52% (-0.012 -0.01)42.47% (0.011999999999993 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.12% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)64.88% (0.012 0.01)
Moldova Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.2% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)19.8% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.13% (-0.012 -0.01)51.86% (0.012 0.01)
Azerbaijan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.68% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)25.32% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.9% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)60.1% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Score Analysis
    Moldova 43.34%
    Azerbaijan 32.53%
    Draw 24.13%
MoldovaDrawAzerbaijan
2-1 @ 9.03%
1-0 @ 8.12% (0.0019999999999989 0)
2-0 @ 6.58% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 4.88% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-0 @ 3.55% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 3.35% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-1 @ 1.97% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 1.44% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 1.36%
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 43.34%
1-1 @ 11.15%
2-2 @ 6.2% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-0 @ 5.01% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-3 @ 1.53% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 24.13%
1-2 @ 7.66% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-1 @ 6.89% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 4.73% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 3.51%
2-3 @ 2.84%
0-3 @ 2.17%
1-4 @ 1.2%
2-4 @ 0.98%
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 32.53%

How you voted: Moldova vs Azerbaijan

Moldova
39.3%
Draw
14.3%
Azerbaijan
46.4%
28
Head to Head
Jun 6, 2021 5pm
Moldova
1-0
Azerbaijan
Damascan (8')
Spataru (80')