Moldova vs Azerbaijan - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Moldova win with a probability of 43.33%. A win for Azerbaijan had a probability of 32.53% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Moldova win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.12%) and 2-0 (6.58%). The likeliest Azerbaijan win was 1-2 (7.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Azerbaijan would win this match.