Euro Champ Qualifying
Mar 27, 2023 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Florian Kainz 68' goal
  • Michael Gregoritsch 88' goal
  • goal Rauno Sappinen 25'

Austria vs Estonia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Austria

All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last game
Mar 24, 2023 7.45pm
Austria 4 - 1 Azerbaijan

Estonia

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austria win with a probability of 58.11%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Estonia had a probability of 18.42%.

The most likely scoreline for an Austria win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.19%) and 2-1 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.12%), while for a Estonia win it was 0-1 (6.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Austria would win this match.

Result

Austria 58.11% (-0.15)
Draw 23.47% (+0.09)
Estonia 18.42% (+0.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.7% (-0.16)

Goals

Over 2.5 48.25% (-0.27)
Under 2.5 51.74% (+0.26)
Over 3.5 26.48% (-0.23)
Under 3.5 73.51% (+0.23)
Over 4.5 12.31% (-0.15)
Under 4.5 87.69% (+0.15)

Austria Goals

Over 0.5 82.44% (-0.16)
Under 0.5 17.56% (+0.15)
Over 1.5 51.9% (-0.26)
Under 1.5 48.1% (+0.26)

Estonia Goals

Over 0.5 57.86% (-0.09)
Under 0.5 42.14% (+0.09)
Over 1.5 21.44% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 78.56% (+0.08)

Score analysis

Austria 58.1%
Draw 23.47%
Estonia 18.42%
Austria
1-0 @ 12.87% (+0.07)
2-0 @ 11.19% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 9.68% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 6.49% (-0.03)
3-1 @ 5.61% (-0.04)
4-0 @ 2.82% (-0.03)
4-1 @ 2.44% (-0.03)
3-2 @ 2.42% (-0.03)
4-2 @ 1.05% (-0.02)
Other @ 3.52%
Total : 58.1%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.12% (+0.04)
0-0 @ 7.4% (+0.08)
2-2 @ 4.18% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 23.47%
Estonia
0-1 @ 6.39% (+0.06)
1-2 @ 4.81% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 2.76% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 1.38% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.2% (-0.01)
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 18.42%