Friendlies 1

Jan 12, 2023 at 4pm UK

Estádio da Nora

Finland
0 - 1
Estonia

FT(HT: 0-0)

Miller (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's friendly clash between Finland and Estonia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Finland

All competitions

International Friendlies

Last Game: Sweden 2-0 Finland
Monday, January 9 at 6.45pm in International Friendlies

Current League B3 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Bosnia-Herzegovina	0	0	0
2	Montenegro	0	0	0
3	Finland	0	0	0
4	Romania	0	0	0

Estonia

All competitions

International Friendlies

Last Game: Iceland 1-1 Estonia
Sunday, January 8 at 5pm in International Friendlies

Current League D2 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Estonia	0	0	0
2	Malta	0	0	0
3	San Marino	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Finland win with a probability of 43.04%. A win for Estonia had a probability of 29.17% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Finland win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.5%) and 2-0 (8.31%). The likeliest Estonia win was 0-1 (9.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood.

Result
Finland	Draw	Estonia
43.04% ( 0.14)	27.79% ( -0.35)	29.17% ( 0.2)

Both teams to score 46.72% (

1.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.2% (

1.27)

58.8% (

-1.27)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.68% (

0.97)

79.31% (

-0.98)

Finland Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.93% (

0.67)

27.07% (

-0.68)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.56% (

0.87)

62.44% (

-0.88)

Estonia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.06% (

0.84)

35.93% (

-0.85)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.29% (

0.85)

72.71% (

-0.86)

Score Analysis

Finland 43.04%

Estonia 29.17%

Draw 27.78%

Finland	Draw	Estonia
1-0 @ 12.71% ( -0.37) 2-1 @ 8.5% ( 0.11) 2-0 @ 8.31% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 3.7% ( 0.12) 3-0 @ 3.62% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 1.9% ( 0.1) 4-1 @ 1.21% ( 0.06) 4-0 @ 1.18% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.91% Total : 43.04%	1-1 @ 13% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 9.73% ( -0.47) 2-2 @ 4.35% ( 0.15) Other @ 0.7% Total : 27.78%	0-1 @ 9.96% ( -0.24) 1-2 @ 6.66% ( 0.11) 0-2 @ 5.09% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.27% ( 0.09) 0-3 @ 1.74% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 1.48% ( 0.09) Other @ 1.97% Total : 29.17%