Austria vs Azerbaijan - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austria win with a probability of 50.08%. A win for Azerbaijan had a probability of 24.96% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Austria win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.5%) and 2-0 (9.02%). The likeliest Azerbaijan win was 0-1 (7.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.86%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Austria would win this match.