Friendlies 1

Mar 23, 2023 at 6.30pm UK

Puskás Ferenc Stadion

Hungary
1 - 0
Estonia

Adam (41')

FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's friendly clash between Hungary and Estonia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hungary

All competitions

Last Game: Hungary 2-1 Greece
Sunday, November 20 at 7.15pm in International Friendlies

Current League A3 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Italy	6	1	11
2	Hungary	6	3	10
3	Germany	6	2	7
4	England	6	-6	3

Estonia

All competitions

International Friendlies

Last Game: Finland 0-1 Estonia
Thursday, January 12 at 4pm in International Friendlies

Current League D2 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Estonia	0	0	0
2	Malta	0	0	0
3	San Marino	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hungary win with a probability of 44.64%. A draw had a probability of 28.1% and a win for Estonia had a probability of 27.24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hungary win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.9%) and 2-1 (8.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13%), while for a Estonia win it was 0-1 (9.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Hungary in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Hungary.

Result
Hungary	Draw	Estonia
44.64% ( 0.01)	28.11% ( -0.09)	27.24% ( 0.07)

Both teams to score 44.78% (

0.28)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.28% (

0.33)

60.71% (

-0.34)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.22% (

0.25)

80.78% (

-0.25)

Hungary Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.87% (

0.16)

27.12% (

-0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.48% (

0.21)

62.51% (

-0.22)

Estonia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.45% (

0.24)

38.54% (

-0.25)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.7% (

0.23)

75.29% (

-0.24)

Score Analysis

Hungary 44.65%

Estonia 27.24%

Draw 28.1%

Hungary	Draw	Estonia
1-0 @ 13.64% ( -0.1) 2-0 @ 8.9% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 8.49% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 3.87% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.69% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 1.76% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 1.26% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.2% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.83% Total : 44.65%	1-1 @ 13% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 10.45% ( -0.13) 2-2 @ 4.04% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.6% Total : 28.1%	0-1 @ 9.97% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 6.2% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 4.75% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.97% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.51% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.29% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.56% Total : 27.24%