Euro Champ Qualifying
Jun 17, 2023 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Stade Roi Baudouin
  • Romelu Lukaku 61' goal
  • goal Michael Gregoritsch 21'

Belgium vs Austria - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Belgium

All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last game
Mar 24, 2023 7.45pm
Sweden 0 - 3 Belgium

Austria

All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last game
Mar 27, 2023 7.45pm
Austria 2 - 1 Estonia

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belgium win with a probability of 45.24%. A win for Austria had a probability of 28.31% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Belgium win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.98%) and 2-0 (8.37%). The likeliest Austria win was 0-1 (8.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.

Result

Belgium 45.24% (+0.50)
Draw 26.45% (-0.05)
Austria 28.31% (-0.45)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.09% (-0.15)

Goals

Over 2.5 45.75% (-0.07)
Under 2.5 54.25% (+0.07)
Over 3.5 24.35% (-0.06)
Under 3.5 75.65% (+0.06)
Over 4.5 10.95% (-0.04)
Under 4.5 89.05% (+0.04)

Belgium Goals

Over 0.5 76.1% (+0.22)
Under 0.5 23.9% (-0.22)
Over 1.5 41.89% (+0.31)
Under 1.5 58.11% (-0.31)

Austria Goals

Over 0.5 65.83% (-0.39)
Under 0.5 34.17% (+0.39)
Over 1.5 29.14% (-0.42)
Under 1.5 70.86% (+0.42)

Score analysis

Belgium 45.23%
Draw 26.45%
Austria 28.31%
Belgium
1-0 @ 11.68% (+0.10)
2-1 @ 8.98% (+0.04)
2-0 @ 8.37% (+0.13)
3-1 @ 4.29% (+0.05)
3-0 @ 3.99% (+0.09)
3-2 @ 2.3%
4-1 @ 1.53% (+0.03)
4-0 @ 1.43% (+0.04)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 45.23%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.55% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 8.17% (+0.02)
2-2 @ 4.82% (-0.03)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 26.45%
Austria
0-1 @ 8.77% (-0.08)
1-2 @ 6.74% (-0.09)
0-2 @ 4.71% (-0.09)
1-3 @ 2.41% (-0.06)
2-3 @ 1.73% (-0.03)
0-3 @ 1.69% (-0.05)
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 28.31%