Euro 2020 header take 8

Euro 2024

Belgium national football team
Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage
Jun 17, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stade Roi Baudouin
Austria national football team

Belgium
1 - 1
Austria

Lukaku (61')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Gregoritsch (21')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between Belgium and Austria, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Belgium

All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Germany 2-3 Belgium
Tuesday, March 28 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies

Austria

All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Austria 2-1 Estonia
Monday, March 27 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belgium win with a probability of 45.24%. A win for Austria had a probability of 28.31% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Belgium win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.98%) and 2-0 (8.37%). The likeliest Austria win was 0-1 (8.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.

Result
BelgiumDrawAustria
45.24% (0.492 0.49)26.45% (-0.041 -0.04)28.31% (-0.45 -0.45)
Both teams to score 50.09% (-0.15 -0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.75% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)54.25% (0.061999999999998 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.35% (-0.052 -0.05)75.65% (0.054000000000002 0.05)
Belgium Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.1% (0.21199999999999 0.21)23.9% (-0.211 -0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.89% (0.301 0.3)58.11% (-0.3 -0.3)
Austria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.83% (-0.381 -0.38)34.17% (0.383 0.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.14% (-0.41 -0.41)70.86% (0.41200000000001 0.41)
Score Analysis
    Belgium 45.23%
    Austria 28.31%
    Draw 26.45%
BelgiumDrawAustria
1-0 @ 11.68% (0.1 0.1)
2-1 @ 8.98% (0.039 0.04)
2-0 @ 8.37% (0.123 0.12)
3-1 @ 4.29% (0.045 0.04)
3-0 @ 3.99% (0.083 0.08)
3-2 @ 2.3%
4-1 @ 1.53% (0.025 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.43% (0.038 0.04)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 45.23%
1-1 @ 12.55% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 8.17% (0.02 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.82% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 26.45%
0-1 @ 8.77% (-0.07 -0.07)
1-2 @ 6.74% (-0.082 -0.08)
0-2 @ 4.71% (-0.087000000000001 -0.09)
1-3 @ 2.41% (-0.056 -0.06)
2-3 @ 1.73% (-0.029 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.69% (-0.049 -0.05)
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 28.31%

How you voted: Belgium vs Austria

Belgium
74.8%
Draw
13.0%
Austria
12.2%
123