/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fmollog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fpollog.png)
-
Ion Nicolaescu
48'
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Ion Nicolaescu
79'
-
Vladyslav Baboglo
85'
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Arkadiusz Milik
12'
-
Robert Lewandowski
34'
Moldova vs Poland - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F13%2Ffernando-santos.jpg)
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Poland win with a probability of 52.51%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Moldova had a probability of 23.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Poland win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.64%) and 0-2 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.6%), while for a Moldova win it was 1-0 (6.99%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.
Result
Moldova
23.08%
▼
(-20.85)
Draw
24.4%
▲
(+2.70)
Poland
52.51%
▲
(+18.15)
Both Teams to Score:
51.6%
▼
(-18.19)
Goals
Over 2.5
50%
▼
(-20.17)
Under 2.5
49.99%
▲
(+20.17)
Over 3.5
28.02%
▼
(-20.99)
Under 3.5
71.98%
▲
(+20.99)
Over 4.5
13.32%
▼
(-16.51)
Under 4.5
86.67%
▲
(+16.51)
Moldova Goals
Over 0.5
63.71%
▼
(-21.80)
Under 0.5
36.29%
▲
(+21.80)
Over 1.5
26.92%
▼
(-30.59)
Under 1.5
73.07%
▲
(+30.59)
Poland Goals
Over 0.5
80.99%
▼
(-0.63)
Under 0.5
19%
▲
(+0.63)
Over 1.5
49.44%
▼
(-1.04)
Under 1.5
50.56%
▲
(+1.04)
Score analysis
Moldova
23.08%
Draw
24.4%
Poland
52.51%
Moldova
1-0
@
6.99%
▲
(+1.85)
2-1 @ 5.88% ▼ (-2.54)
2-0 @ 3.54% ▼ (-1.43)
3-1 @ 1.99% ▼ (-3.43)
3-2 @ 1.65% ▼ (-2.94)
3-0 @ 1.2% ▼ (-2.01)
Other @ 1.83%
Total : 23.08%
2-1 @ 5.88% ▼ (-2.54)
2-0 @ 3.54% ▼ (-1.43)
3-1 @ 1.99% ▼ (-3.43)
3-2 @ 1.65% ▼ (-2.94)
3-0 @ 1.2% ▼ (-2.01)
Other @ 1.83%
Total : 23.08%
Draw
1-1
@
11.6%
▲
(+2.89)
0-0 @ 6.9% ▲ (+4.24)
2-2 @ 4.89% ▼ (-2.25)
Other @ 1.02%
Total : 24.4%
0-0 @ 6.9% ▲ (+4.24)
2-2 @ 4.89% ▼ (-2.25)
Other @ 1.02%
Total : 24.4%
Poland
0-1
@
11.45%
▲
(+6.94)
1-2 @ 9.64% ▲ (+2.26)
0-2 @ 9.51% ▲ (+5.69)
1-3 @ 5.34% ▲ (+1.17)
0-3 @ 5.26% ▲ (+3.11)
2-3 @ 2.7% ▼ (-1.33)
1-4 @ 2.22% ▲ (+0.45)
0-4 @ 2.19% ▼ (-89.22)
2-4 @ 1.12% ▼ (-0.59)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 52.51%
1-2 @ 9.64% ▲ (+2.26)
0-2 @ 9.51% ▲ (+5.69)
1-3 @ 5.34% ▲ (+1.17)
0-3 @ 5.26% ▲ (+3.11)
2-3 @ 2.7% ▼ (-1.33)
1-4 @ 2.22% ▲ (+0.45)
0-4 @ 2.19% ▼ (-89.22)
2-4 @ 1.12% ▼ (-0.59)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 52.51%