/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Festlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fswelog.png)
-
Karol Mets
14'
-
Viktor Gyokeres
18'
-
Isak Hien
21'
-
Dejan Kulusevski
24'
-
Alexander Isak
39'
-
Robin Quaison
75'
-
Viktor Claesson
90'+2'
Estonia vs Sweden - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F23%2Fviktor-gyokeres_1.jpg)
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estonia win with a probability of 39.74%. A win for Sweden had a probability of 32.32% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estonia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.19%) and 2-0 (7.47%). The likeliest Sweden win was 0-1 (10.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Sweden would win this match.
Result
Estonia
39.74%
▼
(-0.01)
Draw
27.94%
▲
(+0.02)
Sweden
32.32%
▼
(-0.02)
Both Teams to Score:
47.49%
▼
(-0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5
41.59%
▼
(-0.06)
Under 2.5
58.41%
▲
(+0.05)
Over 3.5
20.99%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 3.5
79.01%
▲
(+0.04)
Over 4.5
8.91%
▼
(-0.03)
Under 4.5
91.09%
▲
(+0.03)
Estonia Goals
Over 0.5
71.3%
▼
(-0.03)
Under 0.5
28.7%
▲
(+0.03)
Over 1.5
35.48%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 1.5
64.52%
▲
(+0.04)
Sweden Goals
Over 0.5
66.61%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 0.5
33.39%
▲
(+0.04)
Over 1.5
29.98%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 1.5
70.02%
▲
(+0.04)
Score analysis
Estonia
39.73%
Draw
27.94%
Sweden
32.32%
Estonia
1-0
@
11.96%
▲
(+0.03)
2-1 @ 8.19% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 7.47% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 3.41% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 3.11% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.87% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.06% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 39.73%
2-1 @ 8.19% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 7.47% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 3.41% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 3.11% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.87% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.06% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 39.73%
Draw
1-1
@
13.12%
▲
(+0.01)
0-0 @ 9.58% ▲ (+0.02)
2-2 @ 4.49% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.74%
Total : 27.94%
0-0 @ 9.58% ▲ (+0.02)
2-2 @ 4.49% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.74%
Total : 27.94%
Sweden
0-1
@
10.51%
▲
(+0.01)
1-2 @ 7.2% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 5.77% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.63% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 2.11% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.64% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 32.32%
1-2 @ 7.2% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 5.77% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.63% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 2.11% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.64% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 32.32%