Euro Champ Qualifying
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Anton Krivotsyuk
62'
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Rauno Sappinen
27'
Azerbaijan vs Estonia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Azerbaijan win with a probability of 41.81%. A win for Estonia had a probability of 30.44% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Azerbaijan win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.43%) and 2-0 (7.95%). The likeliest Estonia win was 0-1 (10.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.
Result
Azerbaijan
41.81%
▲
(+0.62)
Draw
27.75%
▼
(-0.21)
Estonia
30.44%
▼
(-0.42)
Both Teams to Score:
47.42%
▲
(+0.43)
Goals
Over 2.5
41.8%
▲
(+0.62)
Under 2.5
58.2%
▼
(-0.62)
Over 3.5
21.15%
▲
(+0.48)
Under 3.5
78.85%
▼
(-0.48)
Over 4.5
9%
▲
(+0.28)
Under 4.5
90.99%
▼
(-0.28)
Azerbaijan Goals
Over 0.5
72.56%
▲
(+0.64)
Under 0.5
27.44%
▼
(-0.63)
Over 1.5
37.07%
▲
(+0.81)
Under 1.5
62.93%
▼
(-0.81)
Estonia Goals
Over 0.5
65.35%
▲
(+0.03)
Under 0.5
34.65%
▼
(-0.03)
Over 1.5
28.63%
▲
(+0.03)
Under 1.5
71.37%
▼
(-0.03)
Score analysis
Azerbaijan
41.81%
Draw
27.74%
Estonia
30.43%
Azerbaijan
1-0
@
12.29%
▼
(-0.08)
2-1 @ 8.43% ▲ (+0.11)
2-0 @ 7.95% ▲ (+0.10)
3-1 @ 3.63% ▲ (+0.11)
3-0 @ 3.43% ▲ (+0.11)
3-2 @ 1.93% ▲ (+0.06)
4-1 @ 1.17% ▲ (+0.06)
4-0 @ 1.11% ▲ (+0.06)
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 41.81%
2-1 @ 8.43% ▲ (+0.11)
2-0 @ 7.95% ▲ (+0.10)
3-1 @ 3.63% ▲ (+0.11)
3-0 @ 3.43% ▲ (+0.11)
3-2 @ 1.93% ▲ (+0.06)
4-1 @ 1.17% ▲ (+0.06)
4-0 @ 1.11% ▲ (+0.06)
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 41.81%
Draw
1-1
@
13.03%
▼
(-0.07)
0-0 @ 9.51% ▼ (-0.23)
2-2 @ 4.47% ▲ (+0.06)
Other @ 0.74%
Total : 27.74%
0-0 @ 9.51% ▼ (-0.23)
2-2 @ 4.47% ▲ (+0.06)
Other @ 0.74%
Total : 27.74%
Estonia
0-1
@
10.07%
▼
(-0.24)
1-2 @ 6.91% ▼ (-0.04)
0-2 @ 5.34% ▼ (-0.13)
1-3 @ 2.44% ▼ (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.89% ▼ (-0.05)
2-3 @ 1.58% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 30.43%
1-2 @ 6.91% ▼ (-0.04)
0-2 @ 5.34% ▼ (-0.13)
1-3 @ 2.44% ▼ (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.89% ▼ (-0.05)
2-3 @ 1.58% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 30.43%