Euro Champ Qualifying
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-
Emil Forsberg
38'
-
Bahlul Mustafazada
65'
-
Viktor Gyokeres
79'
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Jesper Karlsson
88'
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Anthony Elanga
89'
Sweden vs Azerbaijan - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sweden win with a probability of 55.04%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Azerbaijan had a probability of 20.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sweden win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.67%) and 2-1 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.61%), while for an Azerbaijan win it was 0-1 (7.07%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sweden would win this match.
Result
Sweden
55.04%
▼
(-0.35)
Draw
24.56%
▲
(+0.04)
Azerbaijan
20.4%
▲
(+0.32)
Both Teams to Score:
47.66%
▲
(+0.36)
Goals
Over 2.5
46.56%
▲
(+0.25)
Under 2.5
53.44%
▼
(-0.25)
Over 3.5
25.03%
▲
(+0.21)
Under 3.5
74.97%
▼
(-0.21)
Over 4.5
11.38%
▲
(+0.13)
Under 4.5
88.62%
▼
(-0.14)
Sweden Goals
Over 0.5
80.66%
▼
(-0.05)
Under 0.5
19.34%
▲
(+0.04)
Over 1.5
48.89%
▼
(-0.07)
Under 1.5
51.11%
▲
(+0.07)
Azerbaijan Goals
Over 0.5
59.09%
▲
(+0.48)
Under 0.5
40.91%
▼
(-0.48)
Over 1.5
22.52%
▲
(+0.43)
Under 1.5
77.48%
▼
(-0.43)
Score analysis
Sweden
55.02%
Draw
24.55%
Azerbaijan
20.4%
Sweden
1-0
@
12.99%
▼
(-0.16)
2-0 @ 10.67% ▼ (-0.14)
2-1 @ 9.55% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 5.85% ▼ (-0.08)
3-1 @ 5.23% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 2.4% ▼ (-0.04)
3-2 @ 2.34% ▲ (+0.03)
4-1 @ 2.15% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.85%
Total : 55.02%
2-0 @ 10.67% ▼ (-0.14)
2-1 @ 9.55% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 5.85% ▼ (-0.08)
3-1 @ 5.23% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 2.4% ▼ (-0.04)
3-2 @ 2.34% ▲ (+0.03)
4-1 @ 2.15% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.85%
Total : 55.02%
Draw
1-1
@
11.61%
▲
(+0.02)
0-0 @ 7.91% ▼ (-0.08)
2-2 @ 4.27% ▲ (+0.06)
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 24.55%
0-0 @ 7.91% ▼ (-0.08)
2-2 @ 4.27% ▲ (+0.06)
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 24.55%
Azerbaijan
0-1
@
7.07%
▲
(+0.03)
1-2 @ 5.19% ▲ (+0.08)
0-2 @ 3.16% ▲ (+0.06)
1-3 @ 1.55% ▲ (+0.05)
2-3 @ 1.27% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 20.4%
1-2 @ 5.19% ▲ (+0.08)
0-2 @ 3.16% ▲ (+0.06)
1-3 @ 1.55% ▲ (+0.05)
2-3 @ 1.27% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 20.4%