/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fauslog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fbellog.png)
-
Florian Grillitsch
15'
-
Nicolas Seiwald
40'
-
Patrick Wimmer
54'
-
Konrad Laimer
72'
-
Konrad Laimer
77'
-
Marcel Sabitzer
84'
-
Dodi Lukebakio
12'
-
Orel Mangala
24'
-
Amadou Onana
35'
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Dodi Lukebakio
55'
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Romelu Lukaku
58'
-
Timothy Castagne
63'
-
Amadou Onana
78'
-
Romelu Lukaku
78'
Austria vs Belgium - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F36%2Fbelgium.jpg)
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belgium win with a probability of 36.97%. A win for Austria had a probability of 36.19% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Belgium win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.11%) and 0-2 (6.46%). The likeliest Austria win was 1-0 (10.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Belgium would win this match.
Result
Austria
36.19%
▼
(-0.14)
Draw
26.84%
▼
(-0.06)
Belgium
36.97%
▲
(+0.20)
Both Teams to Score:
51.43%
▲
(+0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5
46.28%
▲
(+0.22)
Under 2.5
53.72%
▼
(-0.22)
Over 3.5
24.8%
▲
(+0.18)
Under 3.5
75.2%
▼
(-0.18)
Over 4.5
11.23%
▲
(+0.12)
Under 4.5
88.77%
▼
(-0.12)
Austria Goals
Over 0.5
71.49%
▲
(+0.03)
Under 0.5
28.51%
▼
(-0.02)
Over 1.5
35.71%
▲
(+0.03)
Under 1.5
64.29%
▼
(-0.03)
Belgium Goals
Over 0.5
71.95%
▲
(+0.22)
Under 0.5
28.05%
▼
(-0.22)
Over 1.5
36.29%
▲
(+0.28)
Under 1.5
63.71%
▼
(-0.27)
Score analysis
Austria
36.19%
Draw
26.83%
Belgium
36.96%
Austria
1-0
@
10.03%
▼
(-0.09)
2-1 @ 8% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 6.3% ▼ (-0.05)
3-1 @ 3.35% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 2.63% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.13% ▲ (+0.02)
4-1 @ 1.05%
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 36.19%
2-1 @ 8% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 6.3% ▼ (-0.05)
3-1 @ 3.35% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 2.63% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.13% ▲ (+0.02)
4-1 @ 1.05%
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 36.19%
Draw
1-1
@
12.75%
▼
(-0.03)
0-0 @ 8% ▼ (-0.07)
2-2 @ 5.09% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 1%
Total : 26.83%
0-0 @ 8% ▼ (-0.07)
2-2 @ 5.09% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 1%
Total : 26.83%
Belgium
0-1
@
10.16%
▼
(-0.03)
1-2 @ 8.11% ▲ (+0.04)
0-2 @ 6.46% ▲ (+0.03)
1-3 @ 3.44% ▲ (+0.04)
0-3 @ 2.74% ▲ (+0.03)
2-3 @ 2.16% ▲ (+0.03)
1-4 @ 1.09% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 36.96%
1-2 @ 8.11% ▲ (+0.04)
0-2 @ 6.46% ▲ (+0.03)
1-3 @ 3.44% ▲ (+0.04)
0-3 @ 2.74% ▲ (+0.03)
2-3 @ 2.16% ▲ (+0.03)
1-4 @ 1.09% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 36.96%