Euro Champ Qualifying
Sep 9, 2023 2.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Dalga Arena
  • Ramil Seydayev 78' yellowcard
  • goal Yannick Carrasco 38'
  • yellowcard Jeremy Doku 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Michy Batshuayi 90'+3'

Azerbaijan vs Belgium - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Azerbaijan

All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last game
Jun 17, 2023 5.00pm
Azerbaijan 1 - 1 Estonia

Belgium

All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last game
Jun 20, 2023 7.45pm
Estonia 0 - 3 Belgium

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belgium win with a probability of 48.41%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for Azerbaijan had a probability of 24.65%.

The most likely scoreline for a Belgium win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.61%) and 1-2 (8.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.58%), while for an Azerbaijan win it was 1-0 (8.86%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Belgium in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Belgium.

Result

Azerbaijan 24.65% (+3.56)
Draw 26.93% (+1.58)
Belgium 48.41% (-5.14)

Both Teams to Score: 

45.96% (-0.43)

Goals

Over 2.5 41.78% (-2.59)
Under 2.5 58.22% (+2.59)
Over 3.5 21.14% (-2.08)
Under 3.5 78.86% (+2.08)
Over 4.5 9% (-1.25)
Under 4.5 91% (+1.25)

Azerbaijan Goals

Over 0.5 60.58% (+2.02)
Under 0.5 39.42% (-2.02)
Over 1.5 23.88% (+1.83)
Under 1.5 76.12% (-1.83)

Belgium Goals

Over 0.5 75.87% (-3.34)
Under 0.5 24.13% (+3.34)
Over 1.5 41.56% (-4.99)
Under 1.5 58.44% (+4.99)

Score analysis

Azerbaijan 24.65%
Draw 26.93%
Belgium 48.41%
Azerbaijan
1-0 @ 8.86% (+1.27)
2-1 @ 5.86% (+0.61)
2-0 @ 4.12% (+0.78)
3-1 @ 1.82% (+0.28)
3-2 @ 1.29% (+0.09)
3-0 @ 1.28% (-96.93)
Other @ 1.43%
Total : 24.65%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.58% (+0.67)
0-0 @ 9.51% (+0.90)
2-2 @ 4.17% (+0.05)
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 26.93%
Belgium
0-1 @ 13.52% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 9.61% (-1.01)
1-2 @ 8.95% (-0.42)
0-3 @ 4.56% (-1.01)
1-3 @ 4.24% (-0.67)
2-3 @ 1.97% (-0.19)
0-4 @ 1.62% (-0.57)
1-4 @ 1.51% (-0.42)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 48.41%