Euro Champ Qualifying
Nov 16, 2023 5.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT A. Le Coq Arena
  • goal Konrad Laimer 26'
  • goal Philipp Lienhart 40'

Estonia vs Austria - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Estonia

All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last game
Oct 13, 2023 5.00pm
Estonia 0 - 2 Azerbaijan

Austria

All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last game
Oct 16, 2023 5.00pm
Azerbaijan 0 - 1 Austria

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austria win with a probability of 58.16%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Estonia had a probability of 17.69%.

The most likely scoreline for an Austria win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.83%) and 1-2 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.29%), while for a Estonia win it was 1-0 (6.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Austria in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Austria.

Result

Estonia 17.69% (-0.11)
Draw 24.14% (-0.05)
Austria 58.16% (+0.15)

Both Teams to Score: 

44.57% (-0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5 44.75% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 55.25% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 23.52% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 76.48% (-0.01)
Over 4.5 10.43% (+0.01)
Under 4.5 89.57% (-0.01)

Estonia Goals

Over 0.5 54.92% (-0.13)
Under 0.5 45.08% (+0.13)
Over 1.5 19% (-0.10)
Under 1.5 81% (+0.10)

Austria Goals

Over 0.5 81.16% (+0.07)
Under 0.5 18.84% (-0.06)
Over 1.5 49.72% (+0.10)
Under 1.5 50.28% (-0.10)

Score analysis

Estonia 17.69%
Draw 24.14%
Austria 58.16%
Estonia
1-0 @ 6.77% (-0.03)
2-1 @ 4.5% (-0.03)
2-0 @ 2.7% (-0.03)
3-1 @ 1.2% (-0.02)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 17.69%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.29% (-0.03)
0-0 @ 8.49% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 3.76% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.6%
Total : 24.14%
Austria
0-1 @ 14.17% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 11.83% (+0.05)
1-2 @ 9.43% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 6.59% (+0.04)
1-3 @ 5.25% (+0.01)
0-4 @ 2.75% (+0.02)
1-4 @ 2.19% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.09% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.87%
Total : 58.16%

Head to Head

Euro Champ Qualifying
Mar 27, 2023 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Florian Kainz 68' goal
  • Michael Gregoritsch 88' goal
  • goal Rauno Sappinen 25'