Euro Champ Qualifying
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-
Artur Pikk
18'
-
Mattias Kait
68'
-
Martin Vetkal
90'+1'
-
Tural Bayramov
9'
-
Emin Mahmudov
22'
-
Rahil Mammadov
40'
-
Mahir Madatov
45'+1'
-
Ramil Seydayev
45'+4'
Estonia vs Azerbaijan - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Azerbaijan win with a probability of 45.6%. A win for Estonia had a probability of 28.36% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for an Azerbaijan win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.09%) and 0-2 (8.26%). The likeliest Estonia win was 1-0 (8.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Azerbaijan would win this match.
Result
Estonia
28.36%
▲
(+0.31)
Draw
26.04%
▼
(-0.16)
Azerbaijan
45.6%
▼
(-0.16)
Both Teams to Score:
51.35%
▲
(+0.68)
Goals
Over 2.5
47.36%
▲
(+0.78)
Under 2.5
52.64%
▼
(-0.78)
Over 3.5
25.71%
▲
(+0.67)
Under 3.5
74.29%
▼
(-0.67)
Over 4.5
11.81%
▲
(+0.43)
Under 4.5
88.19%
▼
(-0.43)
Estonia Goals
Over 0.5
66.72%
▲
(+0.65)
Under 0.5
33.28%
▼
(-0.65)
Over 1.5
30.1%
▲
(+0.71)
Under 1.5
69.9%
▼
(-0.71)
Azerbaijan Goals
Over 0.5
76.97%
▲
(+0.27)
Under 0.5
23.03%
▼
(-0.27)
Over 1.5
43.15%
▲
(+0.39)
Under 1.5
56.85%
▼
(-0.39)
Score analysis
Estonia
28.36%
Draw
26.04%
Azerbaijan
45.59%
Estonia
1-0
@
8.43%
▼
(-0.12)
2-1 @ 6.81% ▲ (+0.09)
2-0 @ 4.64% ▲ (+0.03)
3-1 @ 2.5% ▲ (+0.08)
3-2 @ 1.83% ▲ (+0.07)
3-0 @ 1.7% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 28.36%
2-1 @ 6.81% ▲ (+0.09)
2-0 @ 4.64% ▲ (+0.03)
3-1 @ 2.5% ▲ (+0.08)
3-2 @ 1.83% ▲ (+0.07)
3-0 @ 1.7% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 28.36%
Draw
1-1
@
12.38%
▼
(-0.06)
0-0 @ 7.67% ▼ (-0.24)
2-2 @ 5% ▲ (+0.10)
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 26.04%
0-0 @ 7.67% ▼ (-0.24)
2-2 @ 5% ▲ (+0.10)
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 26.04%
Azerbaijan
0-1
@
11.25%
▼
(-0.26)
1-2 @ 9.09% ▲ (+0.03)
0-2 @ 8.26% ▼ (-0.13)
1-3 @ 4.45% ▲ (+0.05)
0-3 @ 4.04% ▼ (-0.04)
2-3 @ 2.45% ▲ (+0.07)
1-4 @ 1.63% ▲ (+0.03)
0-4 @ 1.48%
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 45.59%
1-2 @ 9.09% ▲ (+0.03)
0-2 @ 8.26% ▼ (-0.13)
1-3 @ 4.45% ▲ (+0.05)
0-3 @ 4.04% ▼ (-0.04)
2-3 @ 2.45% ▲ (+0.07)
1-4 @ 1.63% ▲ (+0.03)
0-4 @ 1.48%
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 45.59%
Head to Head
Euro Champ Qualifying
-
Anton Krivotsyuk
62'
-
Rauno Sappinen
27'