Azerbaijan national football team
Friendlies 2
Sep 12, 2023 at 5pm UK
Stade Rene Gaillard
Jordan national football team

Azerbaijan
2 - 1
Jordan

Mahmudov (45+1' pen.), Dadasov (79')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Mahmoud Al-Rashdan (57')
Kamal Eid Mustafa Khaled Khaldoon (19'), Al Dardoor (65')
Coverage of the International Friendlies Friendlies 2 clash between Azerbaijan and Jordan.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Last Game: Azerbaijan 0-1 Belgium
Saturday, September 9 at 2pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Norway 6-0 Jordan
Thursday, September 7 at 6pm in International Friendlies

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Azerbaijan win with a probability of 41.33%. A win for Jordan had a probability of 32.31% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Azerbaijan win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.69%) and 2-0 (7.28%). The likeliest Jordan win was 0-1 (9.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Azerbaijan would win this match.

Result
AzerbaijanDrawJordan
41.33% (0.334 0.33)26.36% (0.038999999999998 0.04)32.31% (-0.367 -0.37)
Both teams to score 52.28% (-0.235 -0.23)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.66% (-0.25 -0.25)52.34% (0.256 0.26)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.97% (-0.214 -0.21)74.03% (0.221 0.22)
Azerbaijan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75% (0.061999999999998 0.06)25% (-0.056000000000001 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.34% (0.082000000000001 0.08)59.66% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)
Jordan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.7% (-0.369 -0.37)30.3% (0.375 0.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.52% (-0.446 -0.45)66.48% (0.452 0.45)
Score Analysis
    Azerbaijan 41.33%
    Jordan 32.31%
    Draw 26.35%
AzerbaijanDrawJordan
1-0 @ 10.5% (0.13 0.13)
2-1 @ 8.69% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
2-0 @ 7.28% (0.095999999999999 0.1)
3-1 @ 4.02% (0.019 0.02)
3-0 @ 3.36% (0.05 0.05)
3-2 @ 2.4% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.39% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.17% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 41.33%
1-1 @ 12.53% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.58% (0.077 0.08)
2-2 @ 5.19% (-0.038 -0.04)
3-3 @ 0.95% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.35%
0-1 @ 9.05% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-2 @ 7.49% (-0.067 -0.07)
0-2 @ 5.4% (-0.056999999999999 -0.06)
1-3 @ 2.98% (-0.057 -0.06)
0-3 @ 2.15% (-0.045 -0.04)
2-3 @ 2.07% (-0.037 -0.04)
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 32.31%

How you voted: Azerbaijan vs Jordan

Azerbaijan
25.0%
Draw
50.0%
Jordan
25.0%
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