Estonia national football team
Friendlies 1
Oct 17, 2023 at 5pm UK
A. Le Coq Arena
Thailand national football team

Estonia
1 - 1
Thailand

Anier (71')
Peetson (54')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Praisuwan (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's friendly clash between Estonia and Thailand, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Estonia

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Estonia 0-2 Azerbaijan
Friday, October 13 at 5pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Thailand

Last Game: Georgia 8-0 Thailand
Thursday, October 12 at 5pm in International Friendlies

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Thailand win with a probability of 59.31%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Estonia had a probability of 17.86%.

The most likely scoreline for a Thailand win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.19%) and 1-2 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.84%), while for a Estonia win it was 1-0 (6.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.

Result
EstoniaDrawThailand
17.86% (-0.549 -0.55)22.83% (0.366 0.37)59.31% (0.18 0.18)
Both teams to score 48.59% (-2.114 -2.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.97% (-2.309 -2.31)50.03% (2.308 2.31)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.99% (-2.095 -2.1)72% (2.092 2.09)
Estonia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.2% (-2 -2)41.79% (1.997 2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.74% (-1.795 -1.8)78.26% (1.793 1.79)
Thailand Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.48% (-0.73999999999999 -0.74)16.52% (0.739 0.74)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.73% (-1.349 -1.35)46.27% (1.347 1.35)
Score Analysis
    Estonia 17.86%
    Thailand 59.31%
    Draw 22.82%
EstoniaDrawThailand
1-0 @ 6.02% (0.237 0.24)
2-1 @ 4.73% (-0.191 -0.19)
2-0 @ 2.63% (-0.039 -0.04)
3-1 @ 1.38% (-0.136 -0.14)
3-2 @ 1.24% (-0.157 -0.16)
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 17.86%
1-1 @ 10.84% (0.16 0.16)
0-0 @ 6.9% (0.624 0.62)
2-2 @ 4.26% (-0.285 -0.28)
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 22.82%
0-1 @ 12.43% (0.84 0.84)
0-2 @ 11.19% (0.49 0.49)
1-2 @ 9.77% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)
0-3 @ 6.72% (0.129 0.13)
1-3 @ 5.86% (-0.21 -0.21)
0-4 @ 3.02% (-0.017 -0.02)
1-4 @ 2.64% (-0.164 -0.16)
2-3 @ 2.56% (-0.24 -0.24)
2-4 @ 1.15% (-0.14 -0.14)
0-5 @ 1.09% (-0.034 -0.03)
1-5 @ 0.95% (-0.085 -0.09)
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 59.31%

How you voted: Estonia vs Thailand

Estonia
64.7%
Draw
17.6%
Thailand
17.6%
17