International Friendlies
Jun 19, 2023 1.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Hong Kong Stadium (Hong Kong)
  • goal Teerasil Dangda 63'

Hong Kong vs Thailand - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Hong Kong

All competitions

Thailand

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Jun 16, 2023 12.00pm
Chinese Taipei 2 - 2 Thailand

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hong Kong win with a probability of 43.96%. A win for Thailand had a probability of 33.58% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hong Kong win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.08%) and 2-0 (5.55%). The likeliest Thailand win was 1-2 (7.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.58%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Thailand would win this match.

Result

Hong Kong 43.96% (+22.59)
Draw 22.46% (-0.99)
Thailand 33.58% (-21.60)

Both Teams to Score: 

66.55% (+14.19)

Goals

Over 2.5 66.08% (+13.97)
Under 2.5 33.93% (-13.97)
Over 3.5 44.22% (+14.29)
Under 3.5 55.78% (-14.29)
Over 4.5 25.63% (+11.01)
Under 4.5 74.37% (-11.01)

Hong Kong Goals

Over 0.5 83.9% (+20.65)
Under 0.5 16.1% (-20.65)
Over 1.5 54.5% (+28.03)
Under 1.5 45.5% (-28.03)

Thailand Goals

Over 0.5 79.32% (-3.47)
Under 0.5 20.68% (+3.47)
Over 1.5 46.73% (-5.77)
Under 1.5 53.27% (+5.77)

Score analysis

Hong Kong 43.96%
Draw 22.46%
Thailand 33.58%
Hong Kong
2-1 @ 8.75% (+3.18)
1-0 @ 6.08% (-0.26)
2-0 @ 5.55% (+2.39)
3-1 @ 5.33% (+3.47)
3-2 @ 4.2% (+2.57)
3-0 @ 3.38% (+2.33)
4-1 @ 2.43% (-44.17)
4-2 @ 1.92% (-39.09)
4-0 @ 1.54% (-24.96)
4-3 @ 1.01% (-23.00)
Other @ 3.77%
Total : 43.96%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.58% (-1.56)
2-2 @ 6.9% (+1.99)
0-0 @ 3.33% (-3.00)
3-3 @ 2.21% (-93.90)
Other @ 0.45%
Total : 22.46%
Thailand
1-2 @ 7.55% (-2.25)
0-1 @ 5.25% (-5.88)
0-2 @ 4.14% (-5.66)
1-3 @ 3.97% (-1.79)
2-3 @ 3.62% (+0.75)
0-3 @ 2.17% (-3.57)
1-4 @ 1.56% (-0.97)
2-4 @ 1.43% (+0.17)
Other @ 3.89%
Total : 33.58%