Friendlies 1
Jun 19, 2023 at 1pm UK
Hong Kong Stadium (Hong Kong)
Thailand national football team

Hong Kong
0 - 1
Thailand

FT(HT: 0-0)
Dangda (63')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's friendly clash between Hong Kong and Thailand, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Thailand

Last Game: Chinese Taipei 2-2 Thailand
Friday, June 16 at 12pm in International Friendlies

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hong Kong win with a probability of 43.96%. A win for Thailand had a probability of 33.58% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hong Kong win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.08%) and 2-0 (5.55%). The likeliest Thailand win was 1-2 (7.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.58%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Thailand would win this match.

Result
Hong KongDrawThailand
43.96% (22.584 22.58)22.46% (-0.987 -0.99)33.58% (-21.597 -21.6)
Both teams to score 66.55% (14.184 14.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.08% (13.961 13.96)33.93% (-13.961 -13.96)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.22% (14.287 14.29)55.78% (-14.286 -14.29)
Hong Kong Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.9% (20.644 20.64)16.1% (-20.644 -20.64)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.5% (28.029 28.03)45.5% (-28.029 -28.03)
Thailand Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.32% (-3.465 -3.47)20.68% (3.465 3.47)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.73% (-5.769 -5.77)53.27% (5.77 5.77)
Score Analysis
    Hong Kong 43.96%
    Thailand 33.58%
    Draw 22.46%
Hong KongDrawThailand
2-1 @ 8.75% (3.173 3.17)
1-0 @ 6.08% (-0.252 -0.25)
2-0 @ 5.55% (2.382 2.38)
3-1 @ 5.33% (3.466 3.47)
3-2 @ 4.2% (2.56 2.56)
3-0 @ 3.38% (2.322 2.32)
4-1 @ 2.43% (1.967 1.97)
4-2 @ 1.92% (1.507 1.51)
4-0 @ 1.54% (1.278 1.28)
4-3 @ 1.01% (0.767 0.77)
Other @ 3.77%
Total : 43.96%
1-1 @ 9.58% (-1.557 -1.56)
2-2 @ 6.9% (1.989 1.99)
0-0 @ 3.33% (-2.996 -3)
3-3 @ 2.21% (1.245 1.25)
Other @ 0.45%
Total : 22.46%
1-2 @ 7.55% (-2.25 -2.25)
0-1 @ 5.25% (-5.873 -5.87)
0-2 @ 4.14% (-5.655 -5.66)
1-3 @ 3.97% (-1.782 -1.78)
2-3 @ 3.62% (0.745 0.75)
0-3 @ 2.17% (-3.57 -3.57)
1-4 @ 1.56% (-0.966 -0.97)
2-4 @ 1.43% (0.162 0.16)
Other @ 3.89%
Total : 33.58%

How you voted: Hong Kong vs Thailand

Hong Kong
30.0%
Draw
25.0%
Thailand
45.0%
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