Vietnam national football team
Friendlies 3
Jun 15, 2023 at 1.30pm UK
San vận dộng Lạch Tray

Vietnam
1 - 0
Hong Kong

Hai Que (32' pen.)
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's friendly clash between Vietnam and Hong Kong, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Vietnam

Last Game: Vietnam 1-0 Philippines
Wednesday, December 14 at 11am in International Friendlies

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vietnam win with a probability of 88.59%. A draw had a probability of 8.6% and a win for Hong Kong had a probability of 2.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vietnam win was 3-0 with a probability of 14.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.26%) and 4-0 (11.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.99%), while for a Hong Kong win it was 0-1 (1.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Vietnam would win this match.

Result
VietnamDrawHong Kong
88.59% (-0.16499999999999 -0.16)8.55% (0.1159 0.12)2.85% (0.0469 0.05)
Both teams to score 33.27% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.82% (-0.33500000000001 -0.34)32.18% (0.333 0.33)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.22% (-0.391 -0.39)53.78% (0.39 0.39)
Vietnam Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
95.33% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)4.66% (0.0861 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
81.04% (-0.264 -0.26)18.96% (0.262 0.26)
Hong Kong Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
34.89% (0.020000000000003 0.02)65.11% (-0.021999999999991 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
6.95% (0.0088999999999997 0.01)93.05% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Vietnam 88.58%
    Hong Kong 2.86%
    Draw 8.55%
VietnamDrawHong Kong
3-0 @ 14.57%
2-0 @ 14.26% (0.09 0.09)
4-0 @ 11.17% (-0.06 -0.06)
1-0 @ 9.31% (0.111 0.11)
5-0 @ 6.85% (-0.082 -0.08)
3-1 @ 6.26% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-1 @ 6.12% (0.042 0.04)
4-1 @ 4.79% (-0.025 -0.03)
6-0 @ 3.5% (-0.062 -0.06)
5-1 @ 2.94% (-0.033 -0.03)
7-0 @ 1.53% (-0.036 -0.04)
6-1 @ 1.5% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-2 @ 1.34% (0.002 0)
4-2 @ 1.03% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 3.41%
Total : 88.58%
1-1 @ 3.99% (0.051 0.05)
0-0 @ 3.04% (0.055 0.06)
2-2 @ 1.31% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 8.55%
0-1 @ 1.3% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 1.55%
Total : 2.86%

How you voted: Vietnam vs Hong Kong

Vietnam
89.3%
Draw
3.6%
Hong Kong
7.1%
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