Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austria win with a probability of 50.2%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Azerbaijan had a probability of 24.26%.
The most likely scoreline for an Austria win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.45%) and 1-2 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.11%), while for an Azerbaijan win it was 1-0 (7.83%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Austria in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Austria.