Euro Champ Qualifying
Oct 16, 2023 5.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Baki Olimpiya Stadionu
  • Cosqun Diniyev 57' yellowcard
  • Anton Krivotsyuk 84' yellowcard
  • Tural Bayramov 88' yellowcard
  • Sahruddin Mahammadaliyev 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Ramil Seydayev 90'+3' yellowcard
  • goal Marcel Sabitzer 48'
  • yellowcard Christoph Baumgartner 53'
  • yellowcard Guido Burgstaller 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Marcel Sabitzer 90'+3'
  • redcard Guido Burgstaller 90'+4'

Azerbaijan vs Austria - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Azerbaijan

All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last game
Oct 13, 2023 5.00pm
Estonia 0 - 2 Azerbaijan

Austria

All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last game
Oct 13, 2023 7.45pm
Austria 2 - 3 Belgium

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austria win with a probability of 50.2%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Azerbaijan had a probability of 24.26%.

The most likely scoreline for an Austria win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.45%) and 1-2 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.11%), while for an Azerbaijan win it was 1-0 (7.83%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Austria in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Austria.

Result

Azerbaijan 24.26% (-0.20)
Draw 25.53% (-0.09)
Austria 50.2% (+0.28)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.51% (+0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5 46.6% (+0.18)
Under 2.5 53.4% (-0.19)
Over 3.5 25.06% (+0.16)
Under 3.5 74.93% (-0.16)
Over 4.5 11.4% (+0.10)
Under 4.5 88.6% (-0.10)

Azerbaijan Goals

Over 0.5 62.9% (-0.08)
Under 0.5 37.09% (+0.07)
Over 1.5 26.11% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 73.88% (+0.07)

Austria Goals

Over 0.5 78.7% (+0.20)
Under 0.5 21.29% (-0.20)
Over 1.5 45.77% (+0.30)
Under 1.5 54.23% (-0.31)

Score analysis

Azerbaijan 24.26%
Draw 25.53%
Austria 50.19%
Azerbaijan
1-0 @ 7.83% (-0.08)
2-1 @ 6.01% (-0.04)
2-0 @ 3.88% (-0.05)
3-1 @ 1.99% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 1.54% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 1.28% (-0.02)
Other @ 1.73%
Total : 24.26%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.11% (-0.05)
0-0 @ 7.9% (-0.06)
2-2 @ 4.65% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 25.53%
Austria
0-1 @ 12.21% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 9.45% (+0.05)
1-2 @ 9.37% (+0.03)
0-3 @ 4.87% (+0.05)
1-3 @ 4.83% (+0.05)
2-3 @ 2.4% (+0.02)
0-4 @ 1.88% (+0.03)
1-4 @ 1.87% (+0.03)
Other @ 3.31%
Total : 50.19%

Head to Head

Euro Champ Qualifying
Mar 24, 2023 7.45pm
4
1
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Marcel Sabitzer 27' goal
  • Michael Gregoritsch 29' goal
  • Marcel Sabitzer 50' goal
  • Christoph Baumgartner 69' goal
  • goal Emin Mahmudov 64'