/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fauslog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fgerlog.png)
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Marcel Sabitzer
29'
-
Phillipp Mwene
50'
-
Christoph Baumgartner
73'
-
Leroy Sane
49'
-
Joshua Kimmich
87'
Austria vs Germany - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F46%2Fgermany.jpg)
Predicted Lineups
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Germany win with a probability of 47.5%. A win for Austria had a probability of 29.06% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Germany win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.15%) and 0-2 (7.11%). The likeliest Austria win was 2-1 (7.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.
Result
Austria
29.06%
▲
(+0.03)
Draw
23.43%
▲
(+0.29)
Germany
47.5%
▼
(-0.31)
Both Teams to Score:
60.47%
▼
(-1.02)
Goals
Over 2.5
59.11%
▼
(-1.35)
Under 2.5
40.89%
▲
(+1.35)
Over 3.5
36.72%
▼
(-1.39)
Under 3.5
63.28%
▲
(+1.40)
Over 4.5
19.57%
▼
(-1.08)
Under 4.5
80.43%
▲
(+1.08)
Austria Goals
Over 0.5
73.26%
▼
(-0.67)
Under 0.5
26.73%
▲
(+0.67)
Over 1.5
38%
▼
(-0.89)
Under 1.5
62%
▲
(+0.89)
Germany Goals
Over 0.5
82.54%
▼
(-0.63)
Under 0.5
17.46%
▲
(+0.64)
Over 1.5
52.07%
▼
(-1.12)
Under 1.5
47.93%
▲
(+1.12)
Score analysis
Austria
29.06%
Draw
23.43%
Germany
47.5%
Austria
2-1
@
7.09%
▲
(+0.03)
1-0 @ 6.16% ▲ (+0.26)
2-0 @ 4.06% ▲ (+0.10)
3-1 @ 3.12% ▼ (-0.05)
3-2 @ 2.72% ▼ (-0.11)
3-0 @ 1.79% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 1.03% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 29.06%
1-0 @ 6.16% ▲ (+0.26)
2-0 @ 4.06% ▲ (+0.10)
3-1 @ 3.12% ▼ (-0.05)
3-2 @ 2.72% ▼ (-0.11)
3-0 @ 1.79% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 1.03% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 29.06%
Draw
1-1
@
10.74%
▲
(+0.24)
2-2 @ 6.19% ▼ (-0.12)
0-0 @ 4.67% ▲ (+0.29)
3-3 @ 1.58% ▼ (-0.10)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 23.43%
2-2 @ 6.19% ▼ (-0.12)
0-0 @ 4.67% ▲ (+0.29)
3-3 @ 1.58% ▼ (-0.10)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 23.43%
Germany
1-2
@
9.38%
▲
(+0.02)
0-1 @ 8.15% ▲ (+0.33)
0-2 @ 7.11% ▲ (+0.15)
1-3 @ 5.46% ▼ (-0.11)
0-3 @ 4.14% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 3.6% ▼ (-0.15)
1-4 @ 2.38% ▼ (-0.10)
0-4 @ 1.81% ▼ (-0.04)
2-4 @ 1.57% ▼ (-0.10)
Other @ 3.92%
Total : 47.5%
0-1 @ 8.15% ▲ (+0.33)
0-2 @ 7.11% ▲ (+0.15)
1-3 @ 5.46% ▼ (-0.11)
0-3 @ 4.14% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 3.6% ▼ (-0.15)
1-4 @ 2.38% ▼ (-0.10)
0-4 @ 1.81% ▼ (-0.04)
2-4 @ 1.57% ▼ (-0.10)
Other @ 3.92%
Total : 47.5%