MX23RW : Tuesday, October 15 10:20:00| >> :60:39:39:
Austria national football team
Friendlies 1
Nov 21, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Ernst-Happel-Stadion
Germany national football team

Austria
2 - 0
Germany

Sabitzer (29'), Baumgartner (73')
Mwene (50')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Kimmich (87')
Sane (49')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's friendly clash between Austria and Germany, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Germany could line up for Tuesday's international friendly against Austria.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Estonia 0-2 Austria
Thursday, November 16 at 5pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Current Group F Standings P GD PTS
1Belgium81820
2Austria81019
3Sweden8210
4Azerbaijan8-107
5Estonia8-201
All competitions
Last Game: Germany 2-3 Turkey
Saturday, November 18 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies

We said: Austria 1-1 Germany

Still acclimatising to Nagelsmann's methods, Germany's hopes of bouncing straight back from their lowly loss to Turkey will not exactly be high at the Ernst-Happel-Stadion, especially with Austria having two more days of rest to work with. Rangnick's troops have already laid down plenty of markers en route to Euro 2024, and we have faith in Das Team to hold the tournament hosts to a score draw, bringing Die Mannschaft's painful year to an unspectacular end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Germany win with a probability of 47.5%. A win for Austria had a probability of 29.06% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Germany win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.15%) and 0-2 (7.11%). The likeliest Austria win was 2-1 (7.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.

Result
AustriaDrawGermany
29.06% (0.021000000000001 0.02) 23.43% (0.288 0.29) 47.5% (-0.308 -0.31)
Both teams to score 60.47% (-1.016 -1.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.11% (-1.346 -1.35)40.89% (1.348 1.35)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.72% (-1.389 -1.39)63.28% (1.39 1.39)
Austria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.26% (-0.666 -0.67)26.73% (0.667 0.67)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38% (-0.884 -0.88)62% (0.886 0.89)
Germany Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.54% (-0.63 -0.63)17.46% (0.631 0.63)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.07% (-1.115 -1.11)47.93% (1.116 1.12)
Score Analysis
    Austria 29.06%
    Germany 47.5%
    Draw 23.43%
AustriaDrawGermany
2-1 @ 7.09% (0.024 0.02)
1-0 @ 6.16% (0.26 0.26)
2-0 @ 4.06% (0.098 0.1)
3-1 @ 3.12% (-0.049 -0.05)
3-2 @ 2.72% (-0.102 -0.1)
3-0 @ 1.79% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.03% (-0.036 -0.04)
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 29.06%
1-1 @ 10.74% (0.23 0.23)
2-2 @ 6.19% (-0.11 -0.11)
0-0 @ 4.67% (0.281 0.28)
3-3 @ 1.58% (-0.093 -0.09)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 23.43%
1-2 @ 9.38% (0.012 0.01)
0-1 @ 8.15% (0.329 0.33)
0-2 @ 7.11% (0.143 0.14)
1-3 @ 5.46% (-0.108 -0.11)
0-3 @ 4.14% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 3.6% (-0.141 -0.14)
1-4 @ 2.38% (-0.098 -0.1)
0-4 @ 1.81% (-0.039 -0.04)
2-4 @ 1.57% (-0.097 -0.1)
Other @ 3.92%
Total : 47.5%

How you voted: Austria vs Germany

Austria
31.5%
Draw
16.7%
Germany
51.9%
54
Head to Head
Jun 2, 2018 5pm
International Friendlies
Austria
2-1
Germany
Hinteregger (53'), Schopf (69')
Ozil (11')
Sep 6, 2013 7.45pm
Qualifiers
Germany
3-0
Austria
Klose (33'), Kroos (51'), Muller (88')
Reus (44'), Khedira (59'), Klose (81')

Weimann (37'), Kavlak (80'), Pogatetz (81'), Klein (83')
Sep 11, 2012 7.30pm
Jun 7, 1934 5pm
Third-Place Playoff
Germany
3-2
Austria
Lehner (1', 42'), Conen (27')
Horvath (28'), Sesta (54')
rhs 2.0
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