Friendlies 1

Nov 21, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Ernst-Happel-Stadion

Austria
2 - 0
Germany

Sabitzer (29'), Baumgartner (73')
Mwene (50')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Kimmich (87')
Sane (49')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's friendly clash between Austria and Germany, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Germany could line up for Tuesday's international friendly against Austria.

Form, Standings, Stats

Austria

All competitions

International Friendlies

Last Game: Estonia 0-2 Austria
Thursday, November 16 at 5pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Current Group F Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Belgium	8	18	20
2	Austria	8	10	19
3	Sweden	8	2	10
4	Azerbaijan	8	-10	7
5	Estonia	8	-20	1

Germany

All competitions

Last Game: Germany 2-3 Turkey
Saturday, November 18 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies

Current Group E Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Japan	3	1	6
2	Spain	3	6	4
3	Germany	3	1	4
4	Costa Rica	3	-8	3

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Germany win with a probability of 47.5%. A win for Austria had a probability of 29.06% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Germany win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.15%) and 0-2 (7.11%). The likeliest Austria win was 2-1 (7.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.

Result
Austria	Draw	Germany
29.06% ( 0.02)	23.43% ( 0.29)	47.5% ( -0.31)

Both teams to score 60.47% (

-1.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.11% (

-1.35)

40.89% (

1.35)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.72% (

-1.39)

63.28% (

1.39)

Austria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.26% (

-0.67)

26.73% (

0.67)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38% (

-0.88)

62% (

0.89)

Germany Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.54% (

-0.63)

17.46% (

0.63)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.07% (

-1.11)

47.93% (

1.12)

Score Analysis

Austria 29.06%

Germany 47.5%

Draw 23.43%

Austria	Draw	Germany
2-1 @ 7.09% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 6.16% ( 0.26) 2-0 @ 4.06% ( 0.1) 3-1 @ 3.12% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 2.72% ( -0.1) 3-0 @ 1.79% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.03% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.11% Total : 29.06%	1-1 @ 10.74% ( 0.23) 2-2 @ 6.19% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 4.67% ( 0.28) 3-3 @ 1.58% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.25% Total : 23.43%	1-2 @ 9.38% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 8.15% ( 0.33) 0-2 @ 7.11% ( 0.14) 1-3 @ 5.46% ( -0.11) 0-3 @ 4.14% ( -0) 2-3 @ 3.6% ( -0.14) 1-4 @ 2.38% ( -0.1) 0-4 @ 1.81% ( -0.04) 2-4 @ 1.57% ( -0.1) Other @ 3.92% Total : 47.5%