Euro 2020 header take 8

Euro 2024

Norway national football team
Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage
Oct 15, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Ullevaal Stadion
Spain national football team

Norway
0 - 1
Spain


Bobb (31'), Ryerson (40')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Morata (20'), Gavi (49')
Le Normand (30'), Laporte (56'), Morata (61'), Rodri (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between Norway and Spain, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Norway

All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Cyprus 0-4 Norway
Thursday, October 12 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Current Group A StandingsPGDPTS
1Scotland6915
2Spain51512
3Norway6310
4Georgia5-84
5Cyprus6-190

Spain

All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Spain 2-0 Scotland
Thursday, October 12 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Current Group A StandingsPGDPTS
1Scotland6915
2Spain51512
3Norway6310
4Georgia5-84
5Cyprus6-190

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norway win with a probability of 42.31%. A win for Spain had a probability of 32.02% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norway win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.89%) and 2-0 (7.2%). The likeliest Spain win was 0-1 (8.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.18%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Spain would win this match.

Result
NorwayDrawSpain
42.31% (0.12 0.12)25.67% (0.196 0.2)32.02% (-0.318 -0.32)
Both teams to score 54.41% (-0.774 -0.77)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.46% (-0.95 -0.95)49.54% (0.949 0.95)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.43% (-0.86 -0.86)71.56% (0.85799999999999 0.86)
Norway Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.73% (-0.357 -0.36)23.27% (0.355 0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.8% (-0.523 -0.52)57.19% (0.52 0.52)
Spain Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.91% (-0.67699999999999 -0.68)29.09% (0.675 0.68)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.99% (-0.845 -0.84)65.01% (0.843 0.84)
Score Analysis
    Norway 42.31%
    Spain 32.02%
    Draw 25.66%
NorwayDrawSpain
1-0 @ 9.87% (0.276 0.28)
2-1 @ 8.89% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.2% (0.128 0.13)
3-1 @ 4.32% (-0.049 -0.05)
3-0 @ 3.5% (0.026 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.67% (-0.082 -0.08)
4-1 @ 1.57% (-0.035 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.28% (-0.004 -0)
4-2 @ 0.97% (-0.04 -0.04)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 42.31%
1-1 @ 12.18% (0.11 0.11)
0-0 @ 6.77% (0.258 0.26)
2-2 @ 5.49% (-0.11 -0.11)
3-3 @ 1.1% (-0.056 -0.06)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.66%
0-1 @ 8.36% (0.166 0.17)
1-2 @ 7.52% (-0.071000000000001 -0.07)
0-2 @ 5.16% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 3.1% (-0.088 -0.09)
2-3 @ 2.26% (-0.089 -0.09)
0-3 @ 2.12% (-0.038 -0.04)
1-4 @ 0.96% (-0.046 -0.05)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 32.02%

How you voted: Norway vs Spain

Norway
18.6%
Draw
14.3%
Spain
67.1%
161
Head to Head
Mar 25, 2023 7.45pm
Group Stage
Spain
3-0
Norway
Olmo (13'), Joselu (83', 85')
> Preview
Oct 12, 2019 7.45pm
Group Stage
Norway
1-1
Spain
> Match Report
Mar 23, 2019 7.45pm
Group Stage
Spain
2-1
Norway
> Match Report
Jun 15, 2013 4.30pm
Semi-finals
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Norway
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> Live Commentary