/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fnorlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fspalog.png)
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Oscar Bobb
31'
-
Julian Ryerson
40'
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Alvaro Morata
20'
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Robin Le Normand
30'
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Gavi
49'
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Aymeric Laporte
56'
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Alvaro Morata
61'
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Rodri
86'
Norway vs Spain - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Reaction
News
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F41%2Fluis-de-la-fuente.jpg)
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F41%2Fspasco_2.JPG)
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norway win with a probability of 42.31%. A win for Spain had a probability of 32.02% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Norway win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.89%) and 2-0 (7.2%). The likeliest Spain win was 0-1 (8.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.18%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Spain would win this match.
Result
Norway
42.31%
▲
(+0.13)
Draw
25.67%
▲
(+0.20)
Spain
32.02%
▼
(-0.32)
Both Teams to Score:
54.41%
▼
(-0.78)
Goals
Over 2.5
50.46%
▼
(-0.95)
Under 2.5
49.54%
▲
(+0.95)
Over 3.5
28.43%
▼
(-0.86)
Under 3.5
71.56%
▲
(+0.86)
Over 4.5
13.6%
▼
(-0.59)
Under 4.5
86.4%
▲
(+0.59)
Norway Goals
Over 0.5
76.73%
▼
(-0.36)
Under 0.5
23.27%
▲
(+0.36)
Over 1.5
42.8%
▼
(-0.53)
Under 1.5
57.19%
▲
(+0.53)
Spain Goals
Over 0.5
70.91%
▼
(-0.68)
Under 0.5
29.09%
▲
(+0.68)
Over 1.5
34.99%
▼
(-0.85)
Under 1.5
65.01%
▲
(+0.85)
Score analysis
Norway
42.31%
Draw
25.66%
Spain
32.02%
Norway
1-0
@
9.87%
▲
(+0.28)
2-1 @ 8.89% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 7.2% ▲ (+0.13)
3-1 @ 4.32% ▼ (-0.05)
3-0 @ 3.5% ▲ (+0.03)
3-2 @ 2.67% ▼ (-0.09)
4-1 @ 1.57% ▼ (-0.04)
4-0 @ 1.28% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 42.31%
2-1 @ 8.89% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 7.2% ▲ (+0.13)
3-1 @ 4.32% ▼ (-0.05)
3-0 @ 3.5% ▲ (+0.03)
3-2 @ 2.67% ▼ (-0.09)
4-1 @ 1.57% ▼ (-0.04)
4-0 @ 1.28% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 42.31%
Draw
1-1
@
12.18%
▲
(+0.11)
0-0 @ 6.77% ▲ (+0.26)
2-2 @ 5.49% ▼ (-0.11)
3-3 @ 1.1% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.66%
0-0 @ 6.77% ▲ (+0.26)
2-2 @ 5.49% ▼ (-0.11)
3-3 @ 1.1% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.66%
Spain
0-1
@
8.36%
▲
(+0.17)
1-2 @ 7.52% ▼ (-0.08)
0-2 @ 5.16% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 3.1% ▼ (-0.09)
2-3 @ 2.26% ▼ (-0.09)
0-3 @ 2.12% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 3.5%
Total : 32.02%
1-2 @ 7.52% ▼ (-0.08)
0-2 @ 5.16% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 3.1% ▼ (-0.09)
2-3 @ 2.26% ▼ (-0.09)
0-3 @ 2.12% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 3.5%
Total : 32.02%