Euro 2020 header take 8

Euro 2024

Spain national football team
Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage
Sep 12, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Estadio Olimpico de Sevilla
Cyprus national football team

Spain
6 - 0
Cyprus

Gavi (18'), Merino (33'), Joselu (70'), Torres (73', 83'), Baena (77')
Pino (69')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Kastanos (45+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's European Championship Qualifying clash between Spain and Cyprus, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole looks at how Spain could line up in Tuesday's Euro 2024 qualification match with Cyprus.

Form, Standings, Stats

Spain

All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Georgia 1-7 Spain
Friday, September 8 at 5pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Cyprus

All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Cyprus 0-3 Scotland
Friday, September 8 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spain win with a probability of 86.47%. A draw had a probability of 9.4% and a win for Cyprus had a probability of 4.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spain win was 3-0 with a probability of 12.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.83%) and 4-0 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.46%), while for a Cyprus win it was 0-1 (1.42%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Spain would win this match.

Result
SpainDrawCyprus
86.47% (0.134 0.13)9.42% (-0.090000000000002 -0.09)4.11% (-0.0441 -0.04)
Both teams to score 42.67% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
71.9% (0.258 0.26)28.1% (-0.259 -0.26)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
51.13% (0.318 0.32)48.87% (-0.319 -0.32)
Spain Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
95.65% (0.066000000000003 0.07)4.35% (-0.065 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
82.02% (0.205 0.2)17.98% (-0.205 -0.2)
Cyprus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
44.61% (0.021999999999998 0.02)55.39% (-0.020999999999994 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
11.89% (0.010999999999999 0.01)88.11% (-0.012 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Spain 86.46%
    Cyprus 4.11%
    Draw 9.42%
SpainDrawCyprus
3-0 @ 12.37% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
2-0 @ 11.83% (-0.07 -0.07)
4-0 @ 9.7% (0.037000000000001 0.04)
1-0 @ 7.55% (-0.081 -0.08)
3-1 @ 7.31% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-1 @ 6.99% (-0.036 -0.04)
5-0 @ 6.08% (0.052 0.05)
4-1 @ 5.73% (0.026000000000001 0.03)
5-1 @ 3.59% (0.033 0.03)
6-0 @ 3.18% (0.043 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.16%
6-1 @ 1.88% (0.026 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.69% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
7-0 @ 1.42% (0.025 0.03)
5-2 @ 1.06% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 3.91%
Total : 86.46%
1-1 @ 4.46% (-0.044 -0.04)
0-0 @ 2.41% (-0.037 -0.04)
2-2 @ 2.07% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Other @ 0.48%
Total : 9.42%
0-1 @ 1.42% (-0.021 -0.02)
1-2 @ 1.32% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 1.37%
Total : 4.11%

How you voted: Spain vs Cyprus

Spain
93.4%
Draw
6.6%
Cyprus
0.0%
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