Euro Champ Qualifying
Spain
Sep 12, 2023 7.45pm
6
0
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio Olimpico de Sevilla
Cyprus
  • Gavi 18' goal
  • Mikel Merino 33' goal
  • Yeremy Pino 69' yellowcard
  • Joselu 70' goal
  • Ferran Torres 73' goal
  • Alex Baena 77' goal
  • Ferran Torres 83' goal
  • yellowcard Grigoris Kastanos 45'+2'

Spain vs Cyprus - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview
Predicted Lineups

Form, Standings, Stats

Spain

All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last game
Sep 8, 2023 5.00pm
Georgia 1 - 7 Spain

Cyprus

All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last game
Sep 8, 2023 7.45pm
Cyprus 0 - 3 Scotland

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spain win with a probability of 86.47%. A draw had a probability of 9.4% and a win for Cyprus had a probability of 4.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spain win was 3-0 with a probability of 12.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.83%) and 4-0 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.46%), while for a Cyprus win it was 0-1 (1.42%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Spain would win this match.

Result

Spain 86.47% ▲ (+0.14)
Draw 9.42% ▼ (-0.10)
Cyprus 4.11% ▼ (-0.05)

Both Teams to Score: 

42.67% ▲ (+0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5 71.9% ▲ (+0.26)
Under 2.5 28.1% ▼ (-0.26)
Over 3.5 51.13% ▲ (+0.32)
Under 3.5 48.87% ▼ (-0.32)
Over 4.5 31.78% ▲ (+0.30)
Under 4.5 68.22% ▼ (-0.30)

Spain Goals

Over 0.5 95.65% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 0.5 4.35% ▼ (-0.07)
Over 1.5 82.02% ▲ (+0.21)
Under 1.5 17.98% ▼ (-0.21)

Cyprus Goals

Over 0.5 44.61% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 0.5 55.39% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 1.5 11.89% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 1.5 88.11% ▼ (-0.02)

Score analysis

Spain 86.46%
Draw 9.42%
Cyprus 4.11%
Spain
3-0 @ 12.37% ▼ (-0.02)
2-0 @ 11.83% ▼ (-0.08)
4-0 @ 9.7% ▲ (+0.04)
1-0 @ 7.55% ▼ (-0.09)
3-1 @ 7.31% ▼ (-0.01)
2-1 @ 6.99% ▼ (-0.04)
5-0 @ 6.08% ▲ (+0.06)
4-1 @ 5.73% ▲ (+0.03)
5-1 @ 3.59% ▲ (+0.04)
6-0 @ 3.18% ▲ (+0.05)
3-2 @ 2.16%
6-1 @ 1.88% ▲ (+0.03)
4-2 @ 1.69% ▲ (+0.01)
7-0 @ 1.42% ▲ (+0.03)
5-2 @ 1.06% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 3.91%
Total : 86.46%
Draw
1-1 @ 4.46% ▼ (-0.05)
0-0 @ 2.41% ▼ (-0.04)
2-2 @ 2.07% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.48%
Total : 9.42%
Cyprus
0-1 @ 1.42% ▼ (-0.03)
1-2 @ 1.32% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 1.37%
Total : 4.11%

Form Data

Georgia 1 - 7 Spain
Croatia 0 - 0 Spain
Spain 2 - 1 Italy
Scotland 2 - 0 Spain
Spain 3 - 0 Norway
Morocco 0 - 0 Spain
Cyprus 0 - 3 Scotland
Norway 3 - 1 Cyprus
Cyprus 1 - 2 Georgia
Armenia 2 - 2 Cyprus
Scotland 3 - 0 Cyprus
Israel 2 - 3 Cyprus