Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Scotland win with a probability of 60.62%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Cyprus had a probability of 15.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Scotland win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.62%) and 1-2 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.91%), while for a Cyprus win it was 1-0 (6.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Scotland would win this match.