Gibraltar national football team
Friendlies 1
Jun 6, 2024 at 5pm UK
Estadio Do Algarve
Wales national football team

Gibraltar
0 - 0
Wales


De Haro (45+1'), Hankins (55')
FT

Sheehan (28'), Crew (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's friendly clash between Gibraltar and Wales, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Gibraltar 0-2 Scotland
Monday, June 3 at 5pm in International Friendlies
All competitions
Last Game: Wales 0-0 Poland (4-5 pen.)
Tuesday, March 26 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wales win with a probability of 89.15%. A draw had a probability of 8% and a win for Gibraltar had a probability of 2.82%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wales win was 0-3 with a probability of 14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (13.13%) and 0-4 (11.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.8%), while for a Gibraltar win it was 1-0 (1.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.

Result
GibraltarDrawWales
2.82% (-0.0241 -0.02)8.03% (-0.037899999999999 -0.04)89.15% (0.057000000000002 0.06)
Both teams to score 35.56% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
70.83% (0.045000000000002 0.05)29.17% (-0.050999999999998 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
49.81% (0.055999999999997 0.06)50.18% (-0.061 -0.06)
Gibraltar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
37.07% (-0.097000000000001 -0.1)62.93% (0.091999999999999 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
7.92% (-0.046 -0.05)92.08% (0.040999999999997 0.04)
Wales Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
95.92% (0.013999999999996 0.01)4.07% (-0.019 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
82.88% (0.051000000000002 0.05)17.12% (-0.056000000000001 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Gibraltar 2.82%
    Wales 89.13%
    Draw 8.03%
GibraltarDrawWales
1-0 @ 1.19% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 1.63%
Total : 2.82%
1-1 @ 3.8% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-0 @ 2.56% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-2 @ 1.41% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 8.03%
0-3 @ 14% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-2 @ 13.13%
0-4 @ 11.2% (0.02 0.02)
0-1 @ 8.21% (-0.011999999999999 -0.01)
0-5 @ 7.17% (0.028 0.03)
1-3 @ 6.49% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-2 @ 6.08% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-4 @ 5.19% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-6 @ 3.83% (0.02 0.02)
1-5 @ 3.32% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-6 @ 1.77% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-7 @ 1.75% (0.011 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.5% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.2% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 4.28%
Total : 89.13%

How you voted: Gibraltar vs Wales

Gibraltar
15.4%
Draw
13.5%
Wales
71.2%
52
Head to Head
Oct 11, 2023 7.45pm
Friendlies 1
Wales
4-0
Gibraltar
Davies (22'), Moore (26', 45'), Broadhead (35')
Poole (41')

De Barr (24')