Euro Champ Qualifying
Oct 16, 2023 7.45pm
0
4
HT : 0 2
FT Victoria Stadium
  • Louie Annesley 53' yellowcard
  • Jack Sergeant 84' yellowcard
  • goal Evan Ferguson 8'
  • goal Mikey Johnston 28'
  • goal Matt Doherty 60'
  • yellowcard Matt Doherty 72'
  • goal Callum Robinson 80'
  • yellowcard Jamie McGrath 88'

Gibraltar vs Republic of Ireland - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Gibraltar

All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last game
Sep 10, 2023 7.45pm
Greece 5 - 0 Gibraltar

Republic of Ireland

All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last game
Oct 13, 2023 7.45pm
Rep. Ireland 0 - 2 Greece

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Republic of Ireland win with a probability of 81.43%. A draw had a probability of 13.5% and a win for Gibraltar had a probability of 5.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Republic of Ireland win was 0-2 with a probability of 16.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (13.4%) and 0-1 (13.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.1%), while for a Gibraltar win it was 1-0 (2.48%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Republic of Ireland would win this match.

Result

Gibraltar 5.1% (+0.14)
Draw 13.46% (+0.09)
Republic of Ireland 81.43% (-0.23)

Both Teams to Score: 

33.59% (+0.64)

Goals

Over 2.5 55.75% (+0.29)
Under 2.5 44.24% (-0.29)
Over 3.5 33.38% (+0.28)
Under 3.5 66.62% (-0.29)
Over 4.5 17.07% (+0.21)
Under 4.5 82.93% (-0.21)

Gibraltar Goals

Over 0.5 36.74% (+0.69)
Under 0.5 63.26% (-0.69)
Over 1.5 7.77% (+0.31)
Under 1.5 92.23% (-0.32)

Republic of Ireland Goals

Over 0.5 91.43% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 8.57% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 70.38% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 29.62% (-0.04)

Score analysis

Gibraltar 5.11%
Draw 13.46%
Republic of Ireland 81.42%
Gibraltar
1-0 @ 2.48% (+0.03)
2-1 @ 1.4% (+0.05)
Other @ 1.23%
Total : 5.11%
Draw
1-1 @ 6.1% (+0.08)
0-0 @ 5.42% (-0.07)
2-2 @ 1.72% (+0.07)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 13.46%
Republic of Ireland
0-2 @ 16.36% (-0.18)
0-3 @ 13.4% (-0.14)
0-1 @ 13.31% (-0.17)
0-4 @ 8.23% (-0.09)
1-2 @ 7.49% (+0.10)
1-3 @ 6.14% (+0.09)
0-5 @ 4.05% (-0.04)
1-4 @ 3.77% (+0.06)
1-5 @ 1.85% (+0.03)
0-6 @ 1.66% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.41% (+0.06)
Other @ 3.76%
Total : 81.42%

Head to Head

Euro Champ Qualifying
Jun 19, 2023 7.45pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT Aviva Stadium
  • Mikey Johnston 52' goal
  • Evan Ferguson 59' goal
  • Adam Idah 90'+2' goal
Euro Champ Qualifying
Jun 10, 2019 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Joseph Chipolina 29' goal
  • Enda Stevens 68' yellowcard
  • Robbie Brady 93' goal
  • yellowcard Jayce Olivero 25'
Euro Champ Qualifying
Mar 23, 2019 5.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Lee Casciaro 41' yellowcard
  • Tjay De Barr 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard James McClean 45'
  • goal Jeff Hendrick 49'
  • yellowcard Enda Stevens 67'
European Championship
Sep 4, 2015 7.45pm
0
4
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Kyle Casciaro 9' yellowcard
  • Erin Barnett 48' yellowcard
  • goal Cyrus Christie 26'
  • yellowcard Jonathan Walters 42'
  • goal Robbie Keane 49'
  • goal Robbie Keane 51'
  • goal Shane Long 79'
European Championship
Oct 11, 2014 5.00pm
7
0
HT : 3 0
FT
  • Robbie Keane 6' goal
  • Robbie Keane 14' goal
  • Robbie Keane 18' goal
  • James McClean 46' goal
  • Jordan Perez 51' goal
  • James McClean 53' goal
  • Wes Hoolahan 56' goal