Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Republic of Ireland win with a probability of 81.43%. A draw had a probability of 13.5% and a win for Gibraltar had a probability of 5.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Republic of Ireland win was 0-2 with a probability of 16.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (13.4%) and 0-1 (13.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.1%), while for a Gibraltar win it was 1-0 (2.48%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Republic of Ireland would win this match.